Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Vennings J.
57'
57'
Harvey T.
70'
70'
Harrison T.
AI Match Summary
The National League South game between Truro and Ebbsfleet finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Truro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Truro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Truro carry the better recent record into this one.
- Truro are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Truro Clean Sheet 10%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Truro | Ebbsfleet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.74 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2026 National League South
Truro vs Ebbsfleet
3:0
Apr 8, 2017 National League South
Truro vs Ebbsfleet
1:1
Nov 5, 2016 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Truro
4:2
Feb 20, 2016 National League South
Truro vs Ebbsfleet
1:1
Jan 9, 2016 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Truro
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Truro Compare
Top Goalscorer Harvey T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Harrison T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Ebbsfleet Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Truro 38 / 100
Ebbsfleet 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Truro Ebbsfleet
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Truro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Truro found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).
Ebbsfleet has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Truro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Truro VS Ebbsfleet
2.13 Goals Scored 3
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Truro
(Home) 31 Oct
Truro
3 : 0 Ebbsfleet
27 Oct
Truro
3 : 1 Slough Town
24 Oct
Hampton & Richmond
3 : 4 Truro
17 Oct
Sutton
1 : 0 Truro
13 Oct
Truro
3 : 0 Birmingham U21
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Truro
3 : 0 Ebbsfleet
27 Oct
Truro
3 : 1 Slough Town
13 Oct
Truro
3 : 0 Birmingham U21
03 Oct
Truro
4 : 0 Cirencester
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 4
Ebbsfleet
(Away) 31 Oct
Truro
3 : 0 Ebbsfleet
27 Oct
Maidstone
1 : 3 Ebbsfleet
24 Oct
Ebbsfleet
4 : 0 Maidenhead
20 Oct
Ebbsfleet
2 : 2 Horsham FC
17 Oct
Ebbsfleet
6 : 1 Weston-super-Mare
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Truro
3 : 0 Ebbsfleet
27 Oct
Maidstone
1 : 3 Ebbsfleet
10 Oct
Hampton & Richmond
0 : 2 Ebbsfleet
29 Sept
Slough Town
1 : 1 Ebbsfleet
26 Sept
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Truro | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Maidstone | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:18 | 29 |
| 3 | Ebbsfleet | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 29:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:10 | 28 |
| 5 | Farnham | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 29:19 | 26 |
| 6 | Billericay | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 32:16 | 25 |
| 7 | Tonbridge | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 27:16 | 24 |
| 8 | Dorking Wanderers | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 31:21 | 24 |
| 9 | Dagenham & Red. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:11 | 24 |
| 10 | Horsham FC | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 21:16 | 22 |
| 11 | Dover Ath. | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 22 |
| 12 | Chelmsford | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 13 | Torquay | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22:17 | 20 |
| 14 | Folkestone | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 15 | Weston-super-Mare | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 18 |
| 16 | Farnborough | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 12:25 | 17 |
| 17 | Braintree | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21:34 | 16 |
| 18 | AFC Totton | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 16 |
| 19 | Maidenhead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:19 | 15 |
| 20 | Hemel Hempstead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:22 | 15 |
| 21 | Chesham | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 20:32 | 11 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 16:33 | 9 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10:33 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15:39 | 4 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
