Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Hedges J.
AI Match Summary
Salisbury in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Salisbury.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salisbury
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Salisbury lately — more wins on the board than Truro.
- 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Truro Clean Sheet 23%
Salisbury Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Truro | Salisbury |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 National League South
Truro vs Salisbury
0:1
Mar 22, 2025 National League South
Truro vs Salisbury
1:0
Aug 20, 2024 National League South
Salisbury vs Truro
1:1
Apr 19, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Truro vs Salisbury
4:0
Oct 25, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Salisbury vs Truro
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Truro Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Salisbury Compare
Top Goalscorer Hedges J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Truro 37 / 100
Salisbury 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Truro Salisbury
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Salisbury Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Truro scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
Salisbury's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Truro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Truro VS Salisbury
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Truro
(Home) 15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1 Salisbury
12 Sept
Truro
1 : 1 Walton & Hersham
08 Sept
Truro
4 : 1 Leicester U21
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
31 Aug
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 0 Truro
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1 Salisbury
12 Sept
Truro
1 : 1 Walton & Hersham
08 Sept
Truro
4 : 1 Leicester U21
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
29 Aug
Truro
3 : 0 Dagenham & Red.
Page 1 of 4
Salisbury
(Away) 15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1 Salisbury
12 Sept
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1 Salisbury
08 Sept
Salisbury
5 : 1 Slough Town
05 Sept
Chelmsford
1 : 1 Salisbury
31 Aug
Salisbury
1 : 0 Billericay
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1 Salisbury
12 Sept
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1 Salisbury
05 Sept
Chelmsford
1 : 1 Salisbury
29 Aug
Maidstone
2 : 1 Salisbury
15 Aug
Horsham FC
0 : 0 Salisbury
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Dagenham & Red. | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Billericay | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Tonbridge | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Truro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Dover Ath. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 11 | Farnham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Folkestone | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 12 |
| 13 | Chesham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Chelmsford | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 18 | Braintree | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:24 | 1 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
