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Truro vs Southampton U21

England England

National League Cup Truro Sports Hub, Truro
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Match Events

12'
Kayi Sanda J.
25'
Sub
Stone A. In: Lavercombe D.
Out: Stone A.
40'
Starkie B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Truro
15%
Draws
32%
Southampton U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Truro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Southampton U21 come out ahead of Truro on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Truro's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Southampton U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Truro, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Truro Clean Sheet 19%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Truro Southampton U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 National League Cup
Truro vs Southampton U21
2:1
Aug 13, 2025 National League Cup
Truro vs Southampton U21
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Truro Compare

Top Goalscorer Kinsey M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stretton J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Southampton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gathercole H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Truro 36 / 100
Southampton U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Truro Southampton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southampton U21 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Truro has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Southampton U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Truro VS Southampton U21
0.63 Goals Scored 1.86
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.57
38% Over 1.5 71%
0% Over 2.5 71%
0% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Truro

(Home)
18 Aug
Truro
2 : 1
Southampton U21
15 Aug
Chelmsford
0 : 0
Truro
08 Aug
Truro
2 : 0
Maidenhead
25 Jul
Truro
0 : 1
Plymouth
18 Jul
Truro
1 : 0
Exeter
Page 1 of 6

Southampton U21

(Away)
18 Aug
Truro
2 : 1
Southampton U21
14 Aug
Southampton U21
4 : 0
Blackburn U21
01 Aug
Sutton
3 : 2
Southampton U21
18 Jul
Maidenhead
1 : 3
Southampton U21
24 Apr
Southampton U21
3 : 4
Aston Villa U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 1 1 0 0 6:2 3
2 Scunthorpe 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Wolves U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
5 Gateshead 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
6 Wealdstone 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Derby U21 1 0 0 1 2:6 0
8 Stoke City U21 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norwich U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 West Ham U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Fulham U21 1 1 0 0 2:2 2
4 Ipswich U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
5 Aldershot 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
6 Braintree 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
7 Hornchurch 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 Worthing FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 2 2 0 0 13:1 6
2 Boreham Wood 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
3 Tamworth 1 1 0 0 5:3 3
4 Everton U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Newcastle Utd U21 1 0 0 1 3:5 0
6 Solihull Moors 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Leeds U21 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
8 Hartlepool 1 0 0 1 0:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Birmingham U21 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Truro 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Sutton 1 1 0 0 0:0 2
4 West Brom U21 1 1 0 0 0:0 2
5 Woking 1 0 0 1 0:0 1
6 Leicester U21 1 0 0 1 0:0 1
7 Boston United 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
8 Southampton U21 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)