Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Love-Holmes T.
Assist: Hasani L.
20'
20'
Love-Holmes T.
Own Goal
38'
38'
Jephcott L.
Assist: Love-Holmes T.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Truro advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Southampton U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Truro haven't matched Southampton U21's recent run of results.
- 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Southampton U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Truro, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Truro Clean Sheet 20%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Truro | Southampton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 National League Cup
Truro vs Southampton U21
2:1
Aug 13, 2025 National League Cup
Truro vs Southampton U21
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Truro Compare
Top Goalscorer Love-Holmes T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jephcott L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Southampton U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Armitage W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Truro 31 / 100
Southampton U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Truro Southampton U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Truro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Southampton U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Truro's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Recent resilience: Truro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Truro VS Southampton U21
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Truro
(Home) 15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1 Salisbury
12 Sept
Truro
1 : 1 Walton & Hersham
08 Sept
Truro
4 : 1 Leicester U21
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
31 Aug
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 0 Truro
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1 Salisbury
12 Sept
Truro
1 : 1 Walton & Hersham
08 Sept
Truro
4 : 1 Leicester U21
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
29 Aug
Truro
3 : 0 Dagenham & Red.
Page 1 of 4
Southampton U21
(Away) 18 Sept
Wolves U21
0 : 2 Southampton U21
12 Sept
Southampton U21
3 : 1 Bournemouth U21
08 Sept
Woking
4 : 1 Southampton U21
04 Sept
Bolton U21
1 : 1 Southampton U21
28 Aug
Everton U21
1 : 2 Southampton U21
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Wolves U21
0 : 2 Southampton U21
08 Sept
Woking
4 : 1 Southampton U21
04 Sept
Bolton U21
1 : 1 Southampton U21
28 Aug
Everton U21
1 : 2 Southampton U21
21 Aug
West Ham U21
0 : 0 Southampton U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tamworth | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Brackley | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Rochdale | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 5 | Everton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Manchester United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 7 | Burnley U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 8 | Blackburn U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Braintree | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Wealdstone | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Forest Green | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 6 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leicester U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 2 |
| 8 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Truro | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Woking | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 6 | Sutton | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Halifax | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 6 | Sunderland U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
