Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Truro vs Southampton U21

England England

National League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Love-Holmes T.
Assist: Hasani L.
20' Event
Love-Holmes T.
Own Goal
38' Event
Jephcott L.
Assist: Love-Holmes T.

AI Match Summary

The National League Cup game between Truro and Southampton U21 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Truro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Truro
20%
Draws
38%
Southampton U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Truro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Truro haven't matched Southampton U21's recent run of results.
  • Truro are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal National League Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Truro Clean Sheet 17%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Truro Southampton U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.83
Goals Conceded 1 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2025 National League Cup
Truro vs Southampton U21
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Truro Compare

Top Goalscorer Love-Holmes T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jephcott L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Southampton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Armitage W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Truro 41 / 100
Southampton U21 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Truro Southampton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southampton U21 has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Truro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Southampton U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Truro VS Southampton U21
0.75 Goals Scored 1.83
1 Goals Conceded 1.67
63% Over 1.5 83%
25% Over 2.5 83%
0% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tamworth440012:112
2Brackley43017:310
3Rochdale43016:59
4Solihull Moors43016:38
5Everton U2142024:55
6Manchester United U2141034:93
7Burnley U2140042:81
8Blackburn U2140042:90
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood440013:412
2Braintree43018:59
3Wealdstone43016:49
4Forest Green42028:67
5Nottingham U2142023:36
6West Brom U2141035:103
7Leicester U2141036:102
8Wolves U2140045:120
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1West Ham U21440013:411
2Truro43017:59
3Woking43015:48
4Brighton U2142025:67
5Aldershot41037:114
6Sutton41038:134
7Fulham U2141038:53
8Southampton U2141037:122
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boston United430111:49
2Halifax43016:29
3Newcastle Utd U2142027:67
4Scunthorpe42028:86
5Leeds U2142026:86
6Sunderland U2142025:86
7Middlesbrough U2141036:73
8Gateshead41034:102