Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trutnov vs Usti nad Orlici

Czech Republic Czech Republic

MOL Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Kollar R.
71' Event
Horcicka V.

AI Match Summary

Trutnov host Usti nad Orlici in the MOL Cup 2025/2026. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Trutnov have averaged 1.88 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against Usti nad Orlici's 1.5 scored and 2.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Trutnov have won 2 to Usti nad Orlici's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 13, 2025, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.81) point toward Trutnov. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Trutnov
40%
Draws
29%
Usti nad Orlici
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Trutnov has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Usti nad Orlici.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in MOL Cup 2025/2026 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Trutnov Clean Sheet 11%
Usti nad Orlici Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trutnov Usti nad Orlici
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2025 MOL Cup
Trutnov vs Usti nad Orlici
2:0
Mar 30, 2024 4. liga - Group C
Usti nad Orlici vs Trutnov
2:0
Sep 2, 2023 4. liga - Group C
Trutnov vs Usti nad Orlici
2:5
Jun 3, 2023 4. liga - Group C
Trutnov vs Usti nad Orlici
1:2
Nov 5, 2022 4. liga - Group C
Usti nad Orlici vs Trutnov
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trutnov Compare

Top Goalscorer Kollar R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Horcicka V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Usti nad Orlici Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trutnov 30 / 100
Usti nad Orlici 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trutnov Usti nad Orlici

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trutnov scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Usti nad Orlici let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Trutnov went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Usti nad Orlici lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trutnov VS Usti nad Orlici
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Ceska Trebova-
TBD-
TBD-
Hlinsko-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zapy-
Nachod-
TBD-
TBD-
Trutnov-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Usti nad Orlici-
Louny-
TBD-
TBD-
Chomutov-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Admira Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jablonec-
Svitavy-
TBD-
TBD-
Vysoke Myto-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chrudim-
Chotebor-
TBD-
TBD-
Zdirec nad Doubravou-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jihlava-
SK Libcany-
TBD-
TBD-
Police nad Metuji-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Velke Hamry-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dukla Prague-
Tempo Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
Kraluv Dvur-
Meteor Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
Predni Kopanina-
Sokolov-
TBD-
TBD-
Ostrov-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Usti nad Labem-
Tasovice-
TBD-
TBD-
Breclav-
Valasske Mezirici-
TBD-
TBD-
SK Hranice-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zlin-
Varnsdorf-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Brozany-
Spoje Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
Chlumec nad Cidlinou-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kolin-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Slavia Prague-
FK Komarov-
TBD-
TBD-
Milin-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Domazlice-
Milevsko-
TBD-
TBD-
Spartak Sobeslav-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pisek-
Kbely-
TBD-
TBD-
Slany-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hostoun-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bohemians 1905-
Psary-
TBD-
TBD-
Benesov-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Petrin Plzen-
Litomericko-
TBD-
TBD-
Steti-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Motorlet Prague-
TJ Prestice-
TBD-
TBD-
Rokycany-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pribram-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Mlada Boleslav-
Zabreh-
TBD-
TBD-
Sumperk-
Bridlicna-
TBD-
TBD-
Unicov-
Rajecko-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Kurim-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Artis Brno-
Brandys nad Labem-
TBD-
TBD-
Neratovice-
FC Pencin-
TBD-
TBD-
Hradek nad Nisou-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Liberec-
Olympie Brezova-
TBD-
TBD-
Karlovy Vary-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zizkov-
Tachov-
TBD-
TBD-
Viktoria Marianske Lazne-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Banik Most-Sous-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sparta Prague-
Cesky Krumlov-
TBD-
TBD-
Hluboka nad Vltavou-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Loko Praha-
SK Horovice-
TBD-
TBD-
Povltavska FA-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Taborsko-
Bohumin-
TBD-
TBD-
Polanka nad Odrou-
Vsechovice-
TBD-
TBD-
Hlubina-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
MFK Karvina-
Caslav-
TBD-
TBD-
Horni Redice-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vlasim-
Krimice-
TBD-
TBD-
Doubravka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aritma Prague-
Sparta Brno-
TBD-
TBD-
Bzenec-
Holesov-
TBD-
TBD-
Hodonin-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Slovacko-
Humpolec-
TBD-
TBD-
FS Trebic-
Ledec nad Sazavou0
Sperice1
TBD-
Nove Mesto na Morave-
Rymarov-
TBD-
TBD-
Nove Sady-
Frydlant n. Ost.-
TBD-
TBD-
Hlucin-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sigma Olomouc-
Lanzhot-
TBD-
TBD-
Znojmo-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Opava-
Hluk1
Slavicin3
TBD-
Strani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kromeriz-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Plzen-
Bohunice-
TBD-
TBD-
Velke Mezirici-
Skastice-
TBD-
TBD-
TJ Start Brno-
Slovan Havlickuv Brod-
TBD-
TBD-
Zdar nad Sazavou-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Brno-
TBD-
Kosmonosy-
Dobrovice-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Velvary-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Teplice-
Jakubcovice0
Novy Jicin2
TBD-
Vsetin-
Cesky Tesin-
TBD-
TBD-
Trinec-
Brumov-
TBD-
TBD-
Uhersky Brod-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Prostejov-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hradec Kralove-
Vratimov FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Havirov-
Stonava-
TBD-
TBD-
Vitkovice-
Bilovec-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Kozlovice-
Petrvald na Morave-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Frydek-Mistek-
Prepere-
TBD-
TBD-
Turnov-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Ceska Lipa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Pardubice-
Benatky n. Jiz.-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
SK Kladno-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ceske Budejovice-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ostrava-
1/128-finals
Ceska Trebova2
Hlinsko3
TBD-
Zapy-
Nachod2
Trutnov4
TBD-
Usti nad Orlici-
Louny1
Chomutov4
TBD-
Admira Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jablonec-
Svitavy0
Vysoke Myto7
TBD-
Chrudim-
Chotebor3
Zdirec nad Doubravou2
TBD-
Jihlava-
SK Libcany1
Police nad Metuji0
TBD-
Velke Hamry-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dukla Prague-
Tempo Prague1
Kraluv Dvur5
Meteor Prague2
Predni Kopanina0
Sokolov2
Ostrov1
TBD-
Usti nad Labem-
Tasovice1
Breclav0
Valasske Mezirici1
SK Hranice3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zlin-
Varnsdorf-
TBD-
TBD-
Brozany-
Spoje Prague2
Chlumec nad Cidlinou3
TBD-
Kolin-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Slavia Prague-
FK Komarov4
Milin3
TBD-
Domazlice-
Milevsko2
Spartak Sobeslav4
TBD-
Pisek-
Kbely1
Slany5
TBD-
Hostoun-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bohemians 1905-
Psary3
Benesov2
TBD-
Petrin Plzen-
Litomericko0
Steti4
TBD-
Motorlet Prague-
TJ Prestice1
Rokycany2
TBD-
Pribram-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Mlada Boleslav-
Zabreh2
Sumperk1
Bridlicna2
Unicov6
Rajecko2
FC Kurim3
TBD-
Artis Brno-
Brandys nad Labem3
Neratovice2
FC Pencin1
Hradek nad Nisou0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Liberec-
Olympie Brezova3
Karlovy Vary5
TBD-
Zizkov-
Tachov1
Viktoria Marianske Lazne6
TBD-
Banik Most-Sous-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sparta Prague-
Cesky Krumlov1
Hluboka nad Vltavou2
TBD-
Loko Praha-
SK Horovice2
Povltavska FA3
TBD-
Taborsko-
Bohumin2
Polanka nad Odrou1
Vsechovice1
Hlubina3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
MFK Karvina-
Caslav3
Horni Redice4
TBD-
Vlasim-
Krimice1
Doubravka2
TBD-
Aritma Prague-
Sparta Brno5
Bzenec0
Holesov0
Hodonin2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Slovacko-
Humpolec0
FS Trebic1
Sperice0
Nove Mesto na Morave3
Rymarov3
Nove Sady5
Frydlant n. Ost.0
Hlucin1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sigma Olomouc-
Lanzhot2
Znojmo1
TBD-
Opava-
Slavicin1
Strani3
TBD-
Kromeriz-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Plzen-
Bohunice4
Velke Mezirici2
Skastice0
TJ Start Brno8
Slovan Havlickuv Brod3
Zdar nad Sazavou0
TBD-
Brno-
Kosmonosy3
Dobrovice1
TBD-
Velvary-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Teplice-
Novy Jicin1
Vsetin3
Cesky Tesin0
Trinec7
Brumov1
Uhersky Brod0
TBD-
Prostejov-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hradec Kralove-
Vratimov FC3
Havirov2
Stonava1
Vitkovice6
Bilovec1
FK Kozlovice3
Petrvald na Morave0
FK Frydek-Mistek4
Prepere2
Turnov1
TBD-
FK Ceska Lipa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Pardubice-
Benatky n. Jiz.-
TBD-
TBD-
SK Kladno-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ceske Budejovice-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ostrava-
1/64-finals
Hlinsko3
Zapy0
Trutnov2
Usti nad Orlici0
Chomutov0
Admira Prague3
TBD-
Jablonec-
Vysoke Myto2
Chrudim1
Chotebor0
Jihlava5
SK Libcany0
Velke Hamry6
TBD-
Dukla Prague-
Kraluv Dvur2
Meteor Prague1
Sokolov0
Usti nad Labem2
Tasovice2
SK Hranice3
TBD-
Zlin-
Varnsdorf0
Brozany2
Chlumec nad Cidlinou1
Kolin2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Slavia Prague-
FK Komarov1
Domazlice2
Spartak Sobeslav0
Pisek4
Slany2
Hostoun3
TBD-
Bohemians 1905-
Psary2
Petrin Plzen3
Steti0
Motorlet Prague1
Rokycany3
Pribram0
TBD-
Mlada Boleslav-
Zabreh0
Unicov4
FC Kurim0
Artis Brno2
Brandys nad Labem2
FC Pencin1
TBD-
Liberec-
Karlovy Vary2
Zizkov1
Viktoria Marianske Lazne2
Banik Most-Sous3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sparta Prague-
Hluboka nad Vltavou2
Loko Praha1
Povltavska FA0
Taborsko8
Bohumin4
Hlubina1
TBD-
MFK Karvina-
Horni Redice2
Vlasim1
Doubravka1
Aritma Prague6
Sparta Brno0
Hodonin6
TBD-
Slovacko-
FS Trebic3
Nove Mesto na Morave2
Nove Sady2
Hlucin1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sigma Olomouc-
Lanzhot1
Opava0
Strani0
Kromeriz1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Plzen-
Bohunice1
TJ Start Brno0
Slovan Havlickuv Brod0
Brno1
Kosmonosy0
Velvary3
TBD-
Teplice-
Vsetin0
Trinec4
Brumov1
Prostejov6
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hradec Kralove-
Vratimov FC2
Vitkovice1
FK Kozlovice0
FK Frydek-Mistek6
Prepere0
FK Ceska Lipa3
TBD-
FK Pardubice-
Benatky n. Jiz.0
SK Kladno2
TBD-
Ceske Budejovice-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ostrava-
1/32-finals
Hlinsko2
Trutnov1
Admira Prague0
Jablonec3
Vysoke Myto0
Jihlava1
Velke Hamry0
Dukla Prague2
Kraluv Dvur4
Usti nad Labem5
SK Hranice0
Zlin5
Brozany3
Kolin2
TBD-
Slavia Prague-
Domazlice1
Pisek0
Hostoun1
Bohemians 19052
Petrin Plzen1
Motorlet Prague0
Rokycany0
Mlada Boleslav6
Unicov2
Artis Brno3
Brandys nad Labem0
Liberec6
Karlovy Vary3
Banik Most-Sous0
TBD-
Sparta Prague-
Hluboka nad Vltavou0
Taborsko4
Bohumin1
MFK Karvina6
Horni Redice1
Aritma Prague0
Hodonin0
Slovacko2
FS Trebic1
Nove Sady2
TBD-
Sigma Olomouc-
Lanzhot3
Kromeriz1
TBD-
Plzen-
Bohunice0
Brno4
Velvary0
Teplice2
Trinec3
Prostejov2
TBD-
Hradec Kralove-
Vratimov FC1
FK Frydek-Mistek4
FK Ceska Lipa1
FK Pardubice2
SK Kladno2
Ceske Budejovice3
TBD-
Ostrava-
1/16-finals
Hlinsko0
Jablonec2
Jihlava0
Dukla Prague1
Usti nad Labem0
Zlin2
Brozany0
Slavia Prague2
Domazlice1
Bohemians 19054
Petrin Plzen1
Mlada Boleslav4
Artis Brno2
Liberec1
Karlovy Vary0
Sparta Prague5
Taborsko1
MFK Karvina6
Horni Redice1
Slovacko2
Nove Sady3
Sigma Olomouc2
Lanzhot1
Plzen6
Brno2
Teplice1
Trinec3
Hradec Kralove4
FK Frydek-Mistek1
FK Pardubice2
Ceske Budejovice2
Ostrava3
1/8-finals
Jablonec2
Dukla Prague1
Zlin0
Slavia Prague4
Bohemians 19050
Mlada Boleslav1
Artis Brno1
Sparta Prague2
MFK Karvina1
Slovacko0
Nove Sady0
Plzen2
Brno0
Hradec Kralove3
FK Pardubice3
Ostrava4
Quarter-finals
Jablonec3
Slavia Prague2
Mlada Boleslav1
Sparta Prague0
MFK Karvina3
Plzen0
Hradec Kralove0
Ostrava1
Semi-finals
Jablonec1
Mlada Boleslav0
MFK Karvina2
Ostrava1
Final
Jablonec1
MFK Karvina3