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Tryavna vs Botev Lukovit

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2017/2018 game between Tryavna and Botev Lukovit finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tryavna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tryavna
15%
Draws
85%
Botev Lukovit
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Lukovit

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Botev Lukovit come out ahead of Tryavna on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Botev Lukovit taking it.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Tryavna Clean Sheet 10%
Botev Lukovit Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tryavna Botev Lukovit
Matches Played 36 34
Wins 4 12
Draws 3 9
Losses 29 13
Goals Scored 0.86 1.35
Goals Conceded 3 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2019 Third League - North-West
Botev Lukovit vs Tryavna
1:1
Sep 2, 2018 Third League - North-West
Tryavna vs Botev Lukovit
0:1
Apr 6, 2018 Third League - North-West
Tryavna vs Botev Lukovit
1:0
Sep 10, 2017 Third League - North-West
Botev Lukovit vs Tryavna
1:2
May 15, 2016 Third League - North-West
Tryavna vs Botev Lukovit
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tryavna 10 / 100
Botev Lukovit 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tryavna Botev Lukovit

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Lukovit Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tryavna scored in 61% of their last 36 games.

Botev Lukovit let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Botev Lukovit's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tryavna VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
3.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tryavna

(Home)
30 May
Spartak Pleven
9 : 1
Tryavna
23 May
Tryavna
0 : 4
Bdin Vidin
19 May
Tryavna
0 : 2
OFK Levski
16 May
Parva Atomna
2 : 0
Tryavna
09 May
Tryavna
0 : 2
Akademik Svishtov
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Botev Lukovit

(Away)
02 Jun
Parva Atomna
5 : 0
Botev Lukovit
24 May
Botev Lukovit
1 : 2
Partizan Cerven Brjag
19 May
Lokomotiv Dryanovo
3 : 0
Botev Lukovit
12 May
Botev Lukovit
2 : 1
Spartak Pleven
05 May
Yantra Polski Trambesh
4 : 2
Botev Lukovit
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kariana Erden 30 25 5 0 100:19 80
2 Sevlievo 30 20 4 6 60:27 64
3 Vihar Slavyanovo 30 17 7 6 68:32 58
4 Bdin Vidin 30 16 5 9 57:33 53
5 Parva Atomna 30 15 7 8 45:29 52
6 OFK Levski 30 13 7 10 42:40 46
7 Yantra Gabrovo 30 13 4 13 60:39 43
8 Spartak Pleven 30 10 9 11 39:46 39
9 Akademik Svishtov 30 9 10 11 45:46 37
10 Partizan Cerven Brjag 30 11 4 15 34:50 37
11 Tryavna 30 10 6 14 33:47 36
12 Pavlikeni 30 10 2 18 34:62 32
13 Botev Lukovit 30 9 3 18 37:64 30
14 Yantra Polski Trambesh 30 7 5 18 37:61 26
15 Yantra 2019 30 7 2 21 26:71 23
16 Mizia Knezha 30 6 4 20 24:75 22
Promotion - Vtora liga 2018/2019 (Main)