Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tryavna vs Chavdar Troyan

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2012/2013
Tryavna Logo

Tryavna

1 - 2
FT
Chavdar Troyan Logo

Chavdar Troyan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chavdar Troyan in this Third League - North-West 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chavdar Troyan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tryavna
20%
Draws
80%
Chavdar Troyan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chavdar Troyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Chavdar Troyan have won more games recently than Tryavna.
  • Win probability leans Chavdar Troyan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Tryavna Clean Sheet 10%
Chavdar Troyan Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tryavna Chavdar Troyan
Matches Played 41 27
Wins 6 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 30 14
Goals Scored 0.83 1.04
Goals Conceded 2.83 2.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.53 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2013 Third League - North-West
Chavdar Troyan vs Tryavna
1:2
Oct 28, 2012 Third League - North-West
Tryavna vs Chavdar Troyan
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tryavna 10 / 100
Chavdar Troyan 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tryavna Chavdar Troyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chavdar Troyan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tryavna's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

Chavdar Troyan let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Chavdar Troyan's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tryavna VS Chavdar Troyan
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
3.63 Goals Conceded 0.17
100% Over 1.5 17%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tryavna

(Home)
30 May
Spartak Pleven
9 : 1
Tryavna
23 May
Tryavna
0 : 4
Bdin Vidin
19 May
Tryavna
0 : 2
OFK Levski
16 May
Parva Atomna
2 : 0
Tryavna
09 May
Tryavna
0 : 2
Akademik Svishtov
Page 1 of 9

Chavdar Troyan

(Away)
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Sevlievo
05 Sept
OFK Levski
0 : 0
Chavdar Troyan
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
22 Aug
Spartak Pleven II
1 : 1
Chavdar Troyan
30 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Kariana Erden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 22 16 2 4 61:14 50
2 Parva Atomna 22 15 4 3 46:15 49
3 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 14 1 7 56:28 43
4 Dunav Selanovtsi 22 12 4 6 39:25 40
5 Lokomotiv Mezdra 1929 22 11 1 10 42:38 34
6 Gorna 22 9 4 9 40:26 31
7 OFK Levski 22 9 4 9 34:32 31
8 Belene 22 9 2 11 30:27 29
9 Sitomir 22 7 6 9 29:37 27
10 Chavdar Troyan 22 5 4 13 25:70 19
11 Tryavna 22 3 3 16 17:61 12
12 Balkan Belogradchik 22 1 7 14 19:65 10
Promotion - B PFG 2013/2014 (Main)