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Tryavna vs Spartak Pleven

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tryavna in this Third League - North-West 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tryavna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tryavna
15%
Draws
85%
Spartak Pleven
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Pleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Spartak Pleven have won more games recently than Tryavna.
  • Spartak Pleven are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spartak Pleven have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tryavna Clean Sheet 20%
Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tryavna Spartak Pleven
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 13
Draws 2 4
Losses 26 15
Goals Scored 0.67 1.88
Goals Conceded 3.27 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Third League - North-West
Spartak Pleven vs Tryavna
9:1
Nov 29, 2020 Third League - North-West
Tryavna vs Spartak Pleven
2:1
Mar 13, 2019 Third League - North-West
Tryavna vs Spartak Pleven
0:1
Aug 12, 2018 Third League - North-West
Spartak Pleven vs Tryavna
3:0
May 13, 2018 Third League - North-West
Spartak Pleven vs Tryavna
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tryavna 10 / 100
Spartak Pleven 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tryavna Spartak Pleven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Pleven Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Spartak Pleven's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Spartak Pleven lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Tryavna's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Spartak Pleven
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tryavna

(Home)
30 May
Spartak Pleven
9 : 1
Tryavna
23 May
Tryavna
0 : 4
Bdin Vidin
19 May
Tryavna
0 : 2
OFK Levski
16 May
Parva Atomna
2 : 0
Tryavna
09 May
Tryavna
0 : 2
Akademik Svishtov
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Spartak Pleven

(Away)
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
03 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
5 : 1
Spartak Pleven
30 Aug
Spartak Pleven
0 : 2
Vihren
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Lom 34 28 6 0 86:11 90
2 Vihar Slavyanovo 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
3 Yantra Polski Trambesh 34 20 6 8 67:38 66
4 Sevlievo 34 18 7 9 55:30 61
5 Spartak Pleven 34 19 3 12 76:34 60
6 Botev Vratsa II 34 18 6 10 67:44 60
7 Partizan Cerven Brjag 34 15 8 11 47:42 53
8 Pavlikeni 34 14 8 12 41:35 50
9 Lokomotiv Dryanovo 34 15 4 15 59:58 49
10 Drenovets 34 13 10 11 55:55 49
11 Lokomotiv Mezdra 34 14 4 16 46:48 46
12 Akademik Svishtov 34 10 5 19 41:60 35
13 OFK Levski 34 8 10 16 36:45 34
14 Parva Atomna 34 9 6 19 38:63 33
15 Bdin Vidin 34 8 9 17 35:84 33
16 Etar II 34 9 5 20 45:62 32
17 Peshtera Galata 34 9 5 20 48:82 32
18 Tryavna 34 2 2 30 21:110 8
Promotion - Vtora liga 2021/2022 (Main)