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Trygg/Lade vs Tiller

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
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Match Events

43' Event
Vollan M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 2025 game between Trygg/Lade and Tiller finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trygg/Lade.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Trygg/Lade
30%
Draws
12%
Tiller
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trygg/Lade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Trygg/Lade carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Trygg/Lade's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Trygg/Lade Clean Sheet 68%
Tiller Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trygg/Lade Tiller
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 16 1
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 25
Goals Scored 1.89 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.58 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Trygg/Lade vs Tiller
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Tiller vs Trygg/Lade
1:3
Aug 24, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Trygg/Lade vs Tiller
1:2
May 20, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Tiller vs Trygg/Lade
0:2
Oct 1, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Tiller vs Trygg/Lade
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trygg/Lade Compare

Top Goalscorer Vollan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Tiller Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trygg/Lade 95 / 100
Tiller 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trygg/Lade Tiller

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trygg/Lade Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trygg/Lade scored in 87% of their last 38 games.

Tiller's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Trygg/Lade went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trygg/Lade VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trygg/Lade

(Home)
06 Sept
Trygg/Lade
2 : 3
Honefoss
30 Aug
Trygg/Lade
1 : 1
Skeid
22 Aug
Tynset
0 : 3
Trygg/Lade
16 Aug
Ull/Kisa
1 : 1
Trygg/Lade
08 Aug
Trygg/Lade
0 : 1
Grorud
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Tiller

(Away)
26 Oct
Byasen
3 : 2
Tiller
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
FK Kvik
4 : 0
Tiller
06 Oct
Tiller
2 : 5
Rosenborg 2
27 Sept
Trygg/Lade
1 : 0
Tiller
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