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Trygg/Lade vs Tiller

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
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Match Events

43' Event
Vollan M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 2025 game between Trygg/Lade and Tiller finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trygg/Lade.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Trygg/Lade
40%
Draws
29%
Tiller
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Trygg/Lade carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Trygg/Lade Clean Sheet 14%
Tiller Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trygg/Lade Tiller
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 16 1
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Trygg/Lade vs Tiller
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Tiller vs Trygg/Lade
1:3
Aug 24, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Trygg/Lade vs Tiller
1:2
May 20, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Tiller vs Trygg/Lade
0:2
Oct 1, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Tiller vs Trygg/Lade
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trygg/Lade Compare

Top Goalscorer Vollan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tiller Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trygg/Lade 31 / 100
Tiller 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trygg/Lade Tiller

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trygg/Lade scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

Tiller's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Tiller lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trygg/Lade VS Tiller
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Trygg/Lade

(Home)
28 Jun
Skeid
7 : 1
Trygg/Lade
21 Jun
Trygg/Lade
1 : 4
Lorenskog
14 Jun
Stjordals Blink
2 : 1
Trygg/Lade
31 May
Grorud
2 : 1
Trygg/Lade
24 May
Trygg/Lade
1 : 2
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
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Tiller

(Away)
26 Oct
Byasen
3 : 2
Tiller
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
FK Kvik
4 : 0
Tiller
06 Oct
Tiller
2 : 5
Rosenborg 2
27 Sept
Trygg/Lade
1 : 0
Tiller
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