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TSB Flensburg vs Holstein Kiel II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TSB Flensburg host Holstein Kiel II in the Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: TSB Flensburg at 2.36 goals for, 1.86 against; Holstein Kiel II at 2.84 for, 0.97 against. Head-to-head, TSB Flensburg have won 1 to Holstein Kiel II's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 13, 2018, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 2.69) point toward Holstein Kiel II. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
TSB Flensburg
20%
Draws
45%
Holstein Kiel II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Holstein Kiel II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • TSB Flensburg haven't matched Holstein Kiel II's recent run of results.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Holstein Kiel II have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
TSB Flensburg Clean Sheet 10%
Holstein Kiel II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSB Flensburg Holstein Kiel II
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 21
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 2.36 2.84
Goals Conceded 1.86 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2018 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Holstein Kiel II vs TSB Flensburg
1:3
Sep 9, 2017 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
TSB Flensburg vs Holstein Kiel II
0:3
Mar 25, 2017 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
TSB Flensburg vs Holstein Kiel II
1:3
Sep 18, 2016 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Holstein Kiel II vs TSB Flensburg
3:0
Feb 28, 2016 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Holstein Kiel II vs TSB Flensburg
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSB Flensburg 30 / 100
Holstein Kiel II 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSB Flensburg Holstein Kiel II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holstein Kiel II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: TSB Flensburg scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: TSB Flensburg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Holstein Kiel II let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

TSB Flensburg VS Holstein Kiel II
2 Goals Scored 3.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

TSB Flensburg

(Home)
03 Oct
SC Rapid Lubeck
0 : 5
TSB Flensburg
27 Sept
TSB Flensburg
4 : 0
Nordmark Satrup
19 Sept
TSB Flensburg
2 : 0
Lubeck II
13 Sept
TSB Flensburg
2 : 4
Eckernforder SV
05 Sept
Phonix Lubeck B
4 : 4
TSB Flensburg
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Holstein Kiel II

(Away)
03 Oct
Holstein Kiel II
4 : 0
Hohenwestedt
27 Sept
VfR Neumunster
3 : 3
Holstein Kiel II
20 Sept
Holstein Kiel II
7 : 0
Kaltenkirchener
12 Sept
Holstein Kiel II
4 : 3
Oldenburger SV
05 Sept
SC Rapid Lubeck
2 : 3
Holstein Kiel II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holstein Kiel II 11 8 2 1 40:15 26
2 VfR Neumunster 11 7 3 1 30:15 24
3 Kilia Kiel 11 6 3 2 28:17 21
4 TSB Flensburg 11 6 2 3 32:15 20
5 Rotenhof 11 5 4 2 22:19 19
6 SC Rapid Lubeck 11 6 1 4 24:23 19
7 Oldenburger SV 11 5 2 4 30:24 17
8 Heider SV 11 4 2 5 19:31 14
9 Eichede 11 3 4 4 18:14 13
10 Phonix Lubeck B 11 3 4 4 26:28 13
11 PSV Neumunster 11 3 4 4 21:24 13
12 Nordmark Satrup 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
13 Lubeck II 11 3 1 7 15:28 10
14 Eckernforder SV 11 3 0 8 19:34 9
15 Kaltenkirchener 11 2 2 7 16:33 8
16 Hohenwestedt 11 1 4 6 18:28 7
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Main)