Sport Picks
TSC Backa Topola vs Graficar Beograd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Serbia
Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 
Match Events
7'
7'
Jovanovic S.
10'
10'
Saric D.
14'
14'
Vasiljevic F.
AI Match Summary
The Mozzart Bet Prva Liga game between TSC Backa Topola and Graficar Beograd finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSC Backa Topola.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
30%
28%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TSC Backa Topola
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- TSC Backa Topola carry the better recent record into this one.
- TSC Backa Topola are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Mozzart Bet Prva Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and TSC Backa Topola have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
TSC Backa Topola Clean Sheet 17%
Graficar Beograd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TSC Backa Topola | Graficar Beograd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 5, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
TSC Backa Topola vs Graficar Beograd
4:1
Oct 29, 2025 Mozzart Serbian Cup
Graficar Beograd vs TSC Backa Topola
2:0
Feb 1, 2023 Club Friendly
TSC Backa Topola vs Graficar Beograd
2:1
Jul 5, 2022 Club Friendly
TSC Backa Topola vs Graficar Beograd
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
TSC Backa Topola Compare
Top Goalscorer Milosavic M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jovanovic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Graficar Beograd Compare
Top Goalscorer Saric D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TSC Backa Topola 84 / 100
Graficar Beograd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TSC Backa Topola Graficar Beograd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TSC Backa Topola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
TSC Backa Topola scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
TSC Backa Topola went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Graficar Beograd has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
TSC Backa Topola VS Graficar Beograd
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
TSC Backa Topola
(Home) 05 Oct
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 1 Graficar Beograd
26 Sept
Borac 1926
2 : 2 TSC Backa Topola
21 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
0 : 0 Dubocica
16 Sept
Proleter 023
1 : 1 TSC Backa Topola
12 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 0 Loznica
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 1 Graficar Beograd
21 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
0 : 0 Dubocica
12 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 0 Loznica
30 Aug
TSC Backa Topola
1 : 1 Smederevo
19 Aug
TSC Backa Topola
2 : 2 Spartak Subotica
Page 1 of 4
Graficar Beograd
(Away) 05 Oct
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 1 Graficar Beograd
28 Sept
Graficar Beograd
4 : 1 Teleoptik
21 Sept
Metalac
1 : 0 Graficar Beograd
17 Sept
Graficar Beograd
3 : 0 OFK Bor 1919
12 Sept
Vrsac
4 : 1 Graficar Beograd
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 1 Graficar Beograd
21 Sept
Metalac
1 : 0 Graficar Beograd
12 Sept
Vrsac
4 : 1 Graficar Beograd
05 Sept
Borac 1926
2 : 1 Graficar Beograd
24 Aug
Proleter 023
2 : 1 Graficar Beograd
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borac 1926 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21:16 | 25 |
| 2 | TSC Backa Topola | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 24:13 | 24 |
| 3 | Smederevo | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 24 |
| 4 | Javor | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 29:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Vrsac | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Metalac | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Napredak | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Dubocica | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | 16 |
| 9 | FK Vozdovac | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11:11 | 15 |
| 10 | Loznica | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:19 | 15 |
| 11 | Spartak Subotica | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:23 | 15 |
| 12 | Proleter 023 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 13 |
| 13 | Graficar Beograd | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 16:23 | 10 |
| 14 | Teleoptik | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:23 | 10 |
| 15 | Jedinstvo Ub | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11:21 | 8 |
| 16 | OFK Bor 1919 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7:21 | 8 |
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)
