Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TSC Backa Topola vs Loznica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Radin M.
40' Event
Nikolic N.
41'
Ilic M.

AI Match Summary

TSC Backa Topola in this Mozzart Bet Prva Liga matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSC Backa Topola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
TSC Backa Topola
35%
Draws
28%
Loznica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: TSC Backa Topola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Loznica have won more games recently than TSC Backa Topola.
  • Model gives TSC Backa Topola a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
TSC Backa Topola Clean Sheet 16%
Loznica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSC Backa Topola Loznica
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 11
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.89 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
TSC Backa Topola vs Loznica
4:0
Oct 19, 2022 Mozzart Serbian Cup
Loznica vs TSC Backa Topola
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSC Backa Topola Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikolic N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stojanovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Loznica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSC Backa Topola 84 / 100
Loznica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSC Backa Topola Loznica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSC Backa Topola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSC Backa Topola found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

TSC Backa Topola has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Loznica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

TSC Backa Topola VS Loznica
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

TSC Backa Topola

(Home)
05 Oct
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 1
Graficar Beograd
26 Sept
Borac 1926
2 : 2
TSC Backa Topola
21 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
0 : 0
Dubocica
16 Sept
Proleter 023
1 : 1
TSC Backa Topola
12 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 0
Loznica
Page 1 of 6

Loznica

(Away)
05 Oct
Napredak
3 : 0
Loznica
28 Sept
Loznica
2 : 0
Spartak Subotica
21 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 3
Loznica
17 Sept
Loznica
2 : 2
Javor
12 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 0
Loznica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borac 1926 12 8 1 3 21:16 25
2 TSC Backa Topola 12 6 6 0 24:13 24
3 Smederevo 12 7 3 2 21:13 24
4 Javor 12 6 5 1 29:14 23
5 Vrsac 12 7 1 4 16:11 22
6 Metalac 12 5 3 4 16:12 18
7 Napredak 12 5 2 5 13:15 17
8 Dubocica 12 4 4 4 13:15 16
9 FK Vozdovac 12 4 3 5 11:11 15
10 Loznica 12 3 6 3 16:19 15
11 Spartak Subotica 12 4 3 5 18:23 15
12 Proleter 023 12 3 4 5 19:15 13
13 Graficar Beograd 12 3 1 8 16:23 10
14 Teleoptik 12 2 4 6 14:23 10
15 Jedinstvo Ub 12 2 2 8 11:21 8
16 OFK Bor 1919 12 2 2 8 7:21 8
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)