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TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026 TSC Arena, Bačka Topola
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Todoroski A.
Assist: Jovanovic S.
15' Event
Petrovic B.
Assist: Bosic R.
42' Event
Vulic M.
Assist: Bojat D.

AI Match Summary

TSC Backa Topola in this Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSC Backa Topola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
TSC Backa Topola
30%
Draws
18%
Napredak
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TSC Backa Topola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • TSC Backa Topola have won more games recently than Napredak.
  • Win probability leans TSC Backa Topola's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors TSC Backa Topola here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
TSC Backa Topola Clean Sheet 20%
Napredak Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSC Backa Topola Napredak
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 4
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.83 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola
1:2
Apr 19, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak
4:1
Apr 3, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSC Backa Topola Compare

Top Goalscorer Todoroski A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petrovic B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Napredak Compare

Top Goalscorer Vulic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSC Backa Topola 85 / 100
Napredak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSC Backa Topola Napredak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSC Backa Topola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: TSC Backa Topola scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Napredak has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: TSC Backa Topola stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSC Backa Topola VS Napredak
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TSC Backa Topola

(Home)
26 Sept
Borac 1926
2 : 2
TSC Backa Topola
21 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
0 : 0
Dubocica
16 Sept
Proleter 023
1 : 1
TSC Backa Topola
12 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 0
Loznica
07 Sept
FK Vozdovac
2 : 3
TSC Backa Topola
Page 1 of 6

Napredak

(Away)
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4
Smederevo
16 Sept
Napredak
1 : 2
Vrsac
11 Sept
Spartak Subotica
1 : 0
Napredak
05 Sept
Napredak
2 : 1
Jedinstvo Ub
30 Aug
Javor
3 : 0
Napredak
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 IMT Novi Beograd 37 13 11 13 41:51 50
10 Radnicki Nis 37 14 7 16 46:49 49
11 Mladost Lucani 37 11 13 13 33:52 46
12 Radnicki 1923 37 9 18 10 41:42 45
13 TSC Backa Topola 37 11 12 14 45:45 45
14 Javor 37 10 12 15 41:54 42
15 Spartak Subotica 37 4 9 24 37:72 21
16 Napredak 37 3 9 25 30:76 18
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Main)