Sport Picks
TSC Backa Topola vs Smederevo
Serbia
Mozzart Bet Prva Liga TSC Arena, Bačka Topola 
Match Events
8'
8'
Hadzic I.
26'
26'
Stancic A.
33'
33'
Lukovic S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Mozzart Bet Prva Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: TSC Backa Topola
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Smederevo lately — more wins on the board than TSC Backa Topola.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
TSC Backa Topola Clean Sheet 18%
Smederevo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TSC Backa Topola | Smederevo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
TSC Backa Topola vs Smederevo
1:1
Oct 18, 2023 Mozzart Serbian Cup
Smederevo vs TSC Backa Topola
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
TSC Backa Topola Compare
Top Goalscorer Stancic A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Smederevo Compare
Top Goalscorer Hadzic I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TSC Backa Topola 32 / 100
Smederevo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TSC Backa Topola Smederevo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
TSC Backa Topola scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Recent resilience: TSC Backa Topola stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Smederevo has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
TSC Backa Topola VS Smederevo
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
TSC Backa Topola
(Home) 21 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
0 : 0 Dubocica
16 Sept
Proleter 023
1 : 1 TSC Backa Topola
12 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 0 Loznica
07 Sept
FK Vozdovac
2 : 3 TSC Backa Topola
30 Aug
TSC Backa Topola
1 : 1 Smederevo
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
0 : 0 Dubocica
12 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 0 Loznica
30 Aug
TSC Backa Topola
1 : 1 Smederevo
19 Aug
TSC Backa Topola
2 : 2 Spartak Subotica
09 Aug
TSC Backa Topola
1 : 1 Javor
Page 1 of 3
Smederevo
(Away) 21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4 Smederevo
16 Sept
Smederevo
2 : 1 Spartak Subotica
12 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 1 Smederevo
05 Sept
Smederevo
1 : 3 Javor
30 Aug
TSC Backa Topola
1 : 1 Smederevo
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4 Smederevo
12 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 1 Smederevo
30 Aug
TSC Backa Topola
1 : 1 Smederevo
19 Aug
Metalac
0 : 0 Smederevo
09 Aug
Graficar Beograd
1 : 2 Smederevo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borac 1926 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 18:11 | 24 |
| 2 | Vrsac | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 21 |
| 3 | TSC Backa Topola | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 | Javor | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 25:12 | 19 |
| 5 | Smederevo | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 6 | Spartak Subotica | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 7 | Metalac | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 14 |
| 8 | FK Vozdovac | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 9 | Dubocica | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | 14 |
| 10 | Napredak | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | 13 |
| 11 | Loznica | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 12 | OFK Bor 1919 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 13 | Proleter 023 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 14 | Jedinstvo Ub | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 15 | Graficar Beograd | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Teleoptik | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:19 | 7 |
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)
