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Tsirang vs Ugyen Academy Prediction & H2H Stats

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Tsirang Logo

Tsirang

1 - 4
FT
Ugyen Academy Logo

Ugyen Academy

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ugyen Academy in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ugyen Academy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tsirang
15%
Draws
42%
Ugyen Academy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tsirang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ugyen Academy lately — more wins on the board than Tsirang.
  • Model gives Tsirang a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tsirang Clean Sheet 12%
Ugyen Academy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tsirang Ugyen Academy
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 1
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.57 1.44
Goals Conceded 2.57 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Premier League
Tsirang vs Ugyen Academy
1:4
May 21, 2026 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Tsirang
2:3
Oct 2, 2025 Premier League
Tsirang vs Ugyen Academy
3:2
Jul 5, 2025 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Tsirang
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tsirang 40 / 100
Ugyen Academy 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tsirang Ugyen Academy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ugyen Academy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Tsirang found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Ugyen Academy registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tsirang VS Ugyen Academy
1.75 Goals Scored 0.25
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tsirang

(Home)
27 Sept
Tsirang
1 : 4
Ugyen Academy
22 Sept
RTC
6 : 1
Tsirang
16 Sept
Tsirang
0 : 4
Thimphu FC
26 Aug
Paro
7 : 0
Tsirang
22 Aug
Tensung
1 : 3
Tsirang
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Ugyen Academy

(Away)
27 Sept
Tsirang
1 : 4
Ugyen Academy
24 Sept
Ugyen Academy
2 : 4
Drukpa
21 Sept
Thimphu FC
1 : 0
Ugyen Academy
13 Sept
Thimphu City
6 : 0
Ugyen Academy
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 17 15 1 1 72:12 46
2 Thimphu City 17 12 4 1 49:12 40
3 Thimphu FC 18 10 2 6 27:22 32
4 Transport United 18 9 3 6 28:24 30
5 RTC 18 8 4 6 29:20 28
6 Drukpa 18 6 6 6 36:29 24
7 BFF Academy U19 18 5 5 8 29:45 20
8 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 27:48 16
9 Tensung 18 2 2 14 14:53 8
10 Ugyen Academy 18 2 1 15 15:61 7
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