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TSK Simferopol vs Ocean Kerch

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Dzyon V.
82' Event
Samoilenko A.
90' Event
Krasov D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) game between TSK Simferopol and Ocean Kerch finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSK Simferopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
TSK Simferopol
15%
Draws
26%
Ocean Kerch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TSK Simferopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • TSK Simferopol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on TSK Simferopol taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors TSK Simferopol here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
TSK Simferopol Clean Sheet 20%
Ocean Kerch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSK Simferopol Ocean Kerch
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.38 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Ocean Kerch
2:1
May 24, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs TSK Simferopol
0:4
Apr 4, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Ocean Kerch
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs TSK Simferopol
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Ocean Kerch
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSK Simferopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzyon V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samoilenko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Ocean Kerch Compare

Top Goalscorer Krasov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSK Simferopol 85 / 100
Ocean Kerch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSK Simferopol Ocean Kerch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSK Simferopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSK Simferopol found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Ocean Kerch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: TSK Simferopol stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSK Simferopol VS Ocean Kerch
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TSK Simferopol

(Home)
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
28 Jun
TSK Simferopol
5 : 1
Feodosiya
20 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
MAK
14 Jun
Sparta-KT
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
06 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
Zarechnoye
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Ocean Kerch

(Away)
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
30 Aug
Ocean Kerch
5 : 1
Feodosiya
27 Jun
MAK
3 : 0
Ocean Kerch
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
14 Jun
Ocean Kerch
0 : 5
Zarechnoye
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