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TSK Simferopol vs Ocean Kerch

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Aleksin V.
62' Event
Matvijenko D.
85' Event
Maltsev L.

AI Match Summary

TSK Simferopol in this Premier League (Crimea) matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSK Simferopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
TSK Simferopol
6%
Draws
4%
Ocean Kerch
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: TSK Simferopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • TSK Simferopol have won more games recently than Ocean Kerch.
  • Model gives TSK Simferopol a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • TSK Simferopol have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
TSK Simferopol Clean Sheet 20%
Ocean Kerch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSK Simferopol Ocean Kerch
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 19 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs TSK Simferopol
0:4
Apr 4, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Ocean Kerch
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs TSK Simferopol
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Ocean Kerch
1:0
Jun 1, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs TSK Simferopol
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSK Simferopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Aleksin V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matvijenko D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ocean Kerch Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSK Simferopol 85 / 100
Ocean Kerch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSK Simferopol Ocean Kerch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSK Simferopol found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (32 games).

Ocean Kerch has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Ocean Kerch lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSK Simferopol VS Ocean Kerch
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TSK Simferopol

(Home)
28 Jun
TSK Simferopol
5 : 1
Feodosiya
20 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
MAK
14 Jun
Sparta-KT
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
06 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
Zarechnoye
31 May
GFK Yalta
3 : 2
TSK Simferopol
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Ocean Kerch

(Away)
27 Jun
MAK
3 : 0
Ocean Kerch
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
14 Jun
Ocean Kerch
0 : 5
Zarechnoye
06 Jun
GFK Yalta
3 : 1
Ocean Kerch
24 May
Ocean Kerch
0 : 4
TSK Simferopol
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