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TSK Simferopol vs Ocean Kerch

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Aleksin V.
62' Event
Matvijenko D.
85' Event
Maltsev L.

AI Match Summary

TSK Simferopol in this Premier League (Crimea) matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSK Simferopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
TSK Simferopol
15%
Draws
21%
Ocean Kerch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TSK Simferopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • TSK Simferopol have won more games recently than Ocean Kerch.
  • Model gives TSK Simferopol a 64% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • TSK Simferopol have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
TSK Simferopol Clean Sheet 20%
Ocean Kerch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSK Simferopol Ocean Kerch
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.48 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Ocean Kerch
2:1
May 24, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs TSK Simferopol
0:4
Apr 4, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Ocean Kerch
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs TSK Simferopol
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Ocean Kerch
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSK Simferopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Aleksin V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matvijenko D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Ocean Kerch Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSK Simferopol 85 / 100
Ocean Kerch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSK Simferopol Ocean Kerch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSK Simferopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSK Simferopol found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Ocean Kerch has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

TSK Simferopol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSK Simferopol VS Ocean Kerch
2.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TSK Simferopol

(Home)
09 Sept
TSK Simferopol
4 : 0
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
28 Jun
TSK Simferopol
5 : 1
Feodosiya
20 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
MAK
14 Jun
Sparta-KT
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
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Ocean Kerch

(Away)
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
30 Aug
Ocean Kerch
5 : 1
Feodosiya
27 Jun
MAK
3 : 0
Ocean Kerch
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
14 Jun
Ocean Kerch
0 : 5
Zarechnoye
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