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TSV Aubstadt vs Bayreuth

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Moll P.
28' Event
Fischer M.
34' Event
Grimm M.

AI Match Summary

TSV Aubstadt in this Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSV Aubstadt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
TSV Aubstadt
6%
Draws
90%
Bayreuth
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bayreuth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bayreuth lately — more wins on the board than TSV Aubstadt.
  • Model gives Bayreuth a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
TSV Aubstadt Clean Sheet 12%
Bayreuth Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Aubstadt Bayreuth
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Aubstadt vs Bayreuth
4:0
Nov 7, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayreuth vs TSV Aubstadt
2:3
Apr 26, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayreuth vs TSV Aubstadt
3:0
Oct 12, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Aubstadt vs Bayreuth
0:0
Mar 9, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Aubstadt vs Bayreuth
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSV Aubstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Moll P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fischer M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bayreuth Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Aubstadt 10 / 100
Bayreuth 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Aubstadt Bayreuth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: TSV Aubstadt scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Bayreuth conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

TSV Aubstadt went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSV Aubstadt VS Bayreuth
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nurnberg II34245568:3577
2Wurzburger Kickers34229374:2575
3Unterhaching34224872:3070
4Illertissen34197872:4664
5Vilzing341561349:4451
6TSV Aubstadt3413101149:4549
7Vfb Eichstatt3412121048:3748
8Burghausen341381346:5047
9Ansbach341371454:6546
10Buchbach341371454:6946
11Bayern II341461461:5245
12Memmingen3410121243:4742
13Bayreuth349111436:5338
14Augsburg II34971837:4834
15TSV Schwaben Augsburg34971839:6034
16Furth II346101847:6028
17Aschaffenburg34682031:7126
18Hankofen-Hailing34582131:7423