Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2016/2017

Concordia Hamburg

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

TSV Buchholz 08 play Concordia Hamburg in the Oberliga Hamburg 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, TSV Buchholz 08 averaged 2.44 goals scored and 2.19 conceded. Concordia Hamburg averaged 2.28 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, TSV Buchholz 08 won 3, Concordia Hamburg won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 16, 2017 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for TSV Buchholz 08 and 1.56 for Concordia Hamburg. This points to a Concordia Hamburg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

TSV Buchholz 08

16%

Draws

42%

Concordia Hamburg

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Concordia Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

TSV Buchholz 08 picked up more points recently compared to Concordia Hamburg.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

TSV Buchholz 08 Clean Sheet 15%

Concordia Hamburg Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	TSV Buchholz 08	Concordia Hamburg
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	15	13
Draws	2	5
Losses	15	11
Goals Scored	2.44	2.28
Goals Conceded	2.19	1.55

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2017 Oberliga Hamburg

TSV Buchholz 08 vs Concordia Hamburg

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Oct 16, 2016 Oberliga Hamburg

Concordia Hamburg vs TSV Buchholz 08

Possession: 53% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Mar 5, 2011 Oberliga Hamburg

Concordia Hamburg vs TSV Buchholz 08

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Aug 29, 2010 Oberliga Hamburg

TSV Buchholz 08 vs Concordia Hamburg

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 4 - 4

1:2

May 5, 2010 Oberliga Hamburg

Concordia Hamburg vs TSV Buchholz 08

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Buchholz 08 41 / 100

Concordia Hamburg 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

TSV Buchholz 08 Concordia Hamburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Concordia Hamburg or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

TSV Buchholz 08 attacking → ← attacking Concordia Hamburg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Buchholz 08 scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Concordia Hamburg let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

TSV Buchholz 08 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Concordia Hamburg lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 44

2.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dassendorf	34	23	6	5	79:32	75
2	TSV Buchholz 08	34	19	9	6	77:44	66
3	Altona	34	18	10	6	72:41	64
4	SC Victoria Hamburg	34	18	7	9	82:63	61
5	Concordia Hamburg	34	18	5	11	89:52	59
6	TuS Osdorf	34	16	10	8	66:53	58
7	Wedeler	34	17	5	12	77:67	56
8	Rugenbergen	34	14	7	13	67:54	49
9	Pinneberg	34	14	4	16	62:57	46
10	Condor Hamburg	34	14	4	16	62:72	46
11	Turkiye Wilhelmsburg	34	12	9	13	51:61	45
12	Curslack-Neuengamme	34	13	6	15	44:55	45
13	Barmbek-Uhlenhorst	34	12	8	14	56:55	44
14	Niendorfer TSV	34	11	7	16	57:62	40
15	Suderelbe	34	10	6	18	65:78	36
16	Halstenbek-Rellingen	34	8	5	21	37:72	29
17	Kosova	34	6	4	24	32:106	22
18	Buxtehuder	34	3	8	23	40:91	17