Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2022/2023

TuS Osdorf

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

TSV Buchholz 08 play TuS Osdorf in the Oberliga Hamburg 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, TSV Buchholz 08 averaged 2.44 goals scored and 2.19 conceded. TuS Osdorf averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. In past meetings, TSV Buchholz 08 won 3, TuS Osdorf won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 26, 2023 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for TSV Buchholz 08 and 1.50 for TuS Osdorf. This points to a TSV Buchholz 08 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%

TSV Buchholz 08

20%

Draws

27%

TuS Osdorf

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TSV Buchholz 08

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

TSV Buchholz 08 picked up more points recently compared to TuS Osdorf.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 75%

Over 3.5 Goals 45%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

TSV Buchholz 08 Clean Sheet 16%

TuS Osdorf Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	TSV Buchholz 08	TuS Osdorf
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	15	6
Draws	2	5
Losses	15	19
Goals Scored	2.44	1.33
Goals Conceded	2.19	2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg

TSV Buchholz 08 vs TuS Osdorf

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Sep 16, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg

TuS Osdorf vs TSV Buchholz 08

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 3 - 4

0:2

Mar 3, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg

TSV Buchholz 08 vs TuS Osdorf

Possession: 42% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Oct 15, 2021 Oberliga Hamburg

TuS Osdorf vs TSV Buchholz 08

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Nov 8, 2020 Oberliga Hamburg

TSV Buchholz 08 vs TuS Osdorf

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSV Buchholz 08 Compare

Top Goalscorer Buzhala M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.12

Avg xA / game 1.38

TuS Osdorf Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Buchholz 08 51 / 100

TuS Osdorf 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

TSV Buchholz 08 TuS Osdorf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Buchholz 08 Win (1)

Secondary Pick TSV Buchholz 08 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.7%

2.22

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

TSV Buchholz 08 attacking → ← attacking TuS Osdorf

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Buchholz 08 scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

TuS Osdorf let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

TSV Buchholz 08 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

TuS Osdorf lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 23

2.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sasel	36	26	4	6	108:40	82
2	Dassendorf	36	23	8	5	104:37	77
3	Eimsbutteler	36	21	10	5	87:37	73
4	Altona	36	21	8	7	78:45	71
5	Niendorfer TSV	36	21	7	8	83:50	70
6	Paloma	36	19	8	9	71:54	65
7	Suderelbe	36	17	6	13	86:61	57
8	TSV Concordia	36	16	6	14	72:63	54
9	HEBC Hamburg	36	13	11	12	58:52	50
10	SC Victoria Hamburg	36	14	5	17	80:80	47
11	Harksheide	36	10	13	13	45:67	43
12	Turkiye Wilhelmsburg	36	12	5	19	65:76	41
13	Tornesch	36	10	10	16	53:89	40
14	TSV Buchholz 08	36	11	6	19	45:79	39
15	Rugenbergen	36	9	8	19	47:75	35
16	Hamm United	36	9	6	21	45:80	33
17	Hamburger III	36	9	4	23	55:91	31
18	TuS Osdorf	36	7	5	24	45:93	26
19	Curslack-Neuengamme	36	5	8	23	59:117	23