Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TSV Concordia vs Paloma

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paloma in this Oberliga Hamburg matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paloma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
TSV Concordia
30%
Draws
43%
Paloma
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • TSV Concordia haven't matched Paloma's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • Paloma have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
TSV Concordia Clean Sheet 10%
Paloma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Concordia Paloma
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.66 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs Paloma
2:3
Apr 21, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs Paloma
1:6
Sep 3, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs TSV Concordia
1:0
Mar 17, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs TSV Concordia
3:0
Sep 24, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs Paloma
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Concordia 30 / 100
Paloma 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Concordia Paloma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paloma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paloma let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

TSV Concordia's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

TSV Concordia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

TSV Concordia VS Paloma
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Concordia

(Home)
20 Sept
Tesla Hamburg
2 : 2
TSV Concordia
11 Sept
TSV Concordia
4 : 2
Eintracht Norderstedt II
04 Sept
Harksheide
1 : 3
TSV Concordia
28 Aug
TSV Concordia
3 : 4
Altona
23 Aug
TSV Buchholz 08
1 : 1
TSV Concordia
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Paloma

(Away)
20 Sept
Paloma
3 : 1
Teutonia Ottensen
12 Sept
Dassendorf
1 : 2
Paloma
06 Sept
Paloma
3 : 2
Sasel
28 Aug
Suderelbe
2 : 5
Paloma
23 Aug
Paloma
2 : 2
Pinneberg
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