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TSV Essingen vs Backnang - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Baden-Württemberg game between TSV Essingen and Backnang finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Backnang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
TSV Essingen
20%
Draws
52%
Backnang
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Backnang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Backnang carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Oberliga Baden-Württemberg form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • TSV Essingen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
TSV Essingen Clean Sheet 12%
Backnang Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Essingen Backnang
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs Backnang
3:5
Apr 11, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs Backnang
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Backnang vs TSV Essingen
2:3
May 16, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Backnang vs TSV Essingen
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs Backnang
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Essingen 30 / 100
Backnang 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Essingen Backnang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Backnang Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Backnang conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

TSV Essingen scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

TSV Essingen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSV Essingen VS Backnang
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Essingen

(Home)
31 Oct
Oberachern
0 : 0
TSV Essingen
24 Oct
TSV Essingen
3 : 5
Backnang
17 Oct
FC Normannia Gmund
1 : 3
TSV Essingen
10 Oct
TSV Essingen
3 : 1
Reutlingen
03 Oct
FC 08 Villingen
1 : 0
TSV Essingen
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Backnang

(Away)
31 Oct
Backnang
4 : 2
Turkspor Neckarsulm
24 Oct
TSV Essingen
3 : 5
Backnang
17 Oct
Backnang
3 : 1
Young Boys Reutlingen
11 Oct
Turkish SV Singen
0 : 0
Backnang
03 Oct
Backnang
3 : 1
Bahlinger
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Backnang 14 9 4 1 37:18 31
2 Oberachern 14 9 3 2 28:11 30
3 FC 08 Villingen 14 8 3 3 27:19 27
4 Reutlingen 14 8 3 3 23:16 27
5 Bahlinger 14 7 5 2 24:16 26
6 Young Boys Reutlingen 14 6 5 3 30:21 23
7 Karlsruher II 14 6 5 3 26:24 23
8 Ravensburg 14 6 4 4 27:16 22
9 1. FC Muhlhausen 14 6 3 5 30:31 21
10 1. CfR Pforzheim 14 5 3 6 23:26 18
11 Holzhausen FC 14 5 3 6 22:25 18
12 Balingen 14 4 4 6 18:20 16
13 TSV Essingen 14 4 4 6 19:24 16
14 Turkish SV Singen 14 4 2 8 17:28 14
15 Teningen 14 4 1 9 24:36 13
16 FC Nottingen 14 4 0 10 30:25 12
17 Turkspor Neckarsulm 14 3 0 11 16:40 9
18 FC Normannia Gmund 14 2 0 12 15:40 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)