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TSV Essingen vs Mutschelbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
TSV Essingen
35%
Draws
46%
Mutschelbach
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mutschelbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • TSV Essingen have won more games recently than Mutschelbach.
  • Win probability leans Mutschelbach's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
TSV Essingen Clean Sheet 12%
Mutschelbach Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Essingen Mutschelbach
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.62 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs Mutschelbach
0:0
Oct 14, 2023 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Mutschelbach vs TSV Essingen
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Essingen 22 / 100
Mutschelbach 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Essingen Mutschelbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mutschelbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mutschelbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

TSV Essingen's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: TSV Essingen stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSV Essingen VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Essingen

(Home)
12 Sept
TSV Essingen
2 : 2
1. FC Muhlhausen
09 Sept
Karlsruher II
0 : 0
TSV Essingen
05 Sept
TSV Essingen
0 : 4
1. CfR Pforzheim
29 Aug
Ravensburg
3 : 0
TSV Essingen
22 Aug
TSV Essingen
1 : 2
Turkspor Neckarsulm
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Mutschelbach

(Away)
01 Jun
Reutlingen
6 : 0
Mutschelbach
18 May
Mutschelbach
2 : 0
Goppinger
12 May
Backnang
1 : 1
Mutschelbach
09 May
Mutschelbach
1 : 4
FC 08 Villingen
04 May
TSV Essingen
0 : 0
Mutschelbach
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC 08 Villingen 34 22 6 6 84:40 72
2 Goppinger 34 20 9 5 71:37 69
3 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 20 8 6 77:27 68
4 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 18 10 6 79:46 64
5 FC Nottingen 34 17 9 8 76:41 60
6 Hollenbach 34 14 7 13 61:68 49
7 FC Normannia Gmund 34 13 9 12 46:43 48
8 TSV Essingen 34 13 7 14 45:52 46
9 VfR Mannheim 34 13 4 17 46:59 43
10 Oberachern 34 10 12 12 52:62 42
11 Backnang 34 11 9 14 44:56 42
12 Mutschelbach 34 10 11 13 67:83 41
13 Ravensburg 34 9 13 12 50:60 40
14 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 11 6 17 56:60 39
15 Reutlingen 34 10 7 17 56:63 37
16 Holzhausen FC 34 10 6 18 47:60 36
17 Denzlingen 34 10 6 18 46:76 36
18 Offenburger 34 3 5 26 35:105 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bremen 2023/2024 (Promotion)