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TSV Havelse vs FC Viktoria Koln

Germany Germany

3. Liga Eilenriedestadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TSV Havelse play FC Viktoria Koln in the 3. Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, TSV Havelse averaged 1.7 goals scored and 2.26 conceded. FC Viktoria Koln averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, TSV Havelse won 2, FC Viktoria Koln won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for TSV Havelse and 1.75 for FC Viktoria Koln. This points to a FC Viktoria Koln double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
TSV Havelse
18%
Draws
42%
FC Viktoria Koln
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: FC Viktoria Koln

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • TSV Havelse picked up more points recently compared to FC Viktoria Koln.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
TSV Havelse Clean Sheet 12%
FC Viktoria Koln Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Havelse FC Viktoria Koln
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 3. Liga
TSV Havelse vs FC Viktoria Koln
3:2
Oct 4, 2025 3. Liga
FC Viktoria Koln vs TSV Havelse
4:1
Feb 25, 2022 3. Liga
FC Viktoria Koln vs TSV Havelse
0:0
Sep 17, 2021 3. Liga
TSV Havelse vs FC Viktoria Koln
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSV Havelse Compare

Top Goalscorer Boujellab N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ilic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

FC Viktoria Koln Compare

Top Goalscorer Handle S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Munst L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Havelse 38 / 100
FC Viktoria Koln 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Havelse FC Viktoria Koln

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Viktoria Koln or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

TSV Havelse attacking → ← attacking FC Viktoria Koln

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Havelse scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

FC Viktoria Koln let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

TSV Havelse went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Viktoria Koln lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 43
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1VfL Osnabruck38248666:3480
2Energie Cottbus38219872:5172
3RW Essen382010878:6670
4Duisburg381911866:4968
5Hansa Rostock381813774:4967
6Verl3818101082:4864
7Alemannia Aachen381971276:5764
8Munich 18603815111254:5356
9Wehen381581554:5253
10Mannheim381571659:7252
11FC Viktoria Koln381561751:5351
12Ingolstadt3813101565:5649
13Regensburg381471754:5849
14VfB Stuttgart II381371857:6946
15Saarbrucken3810141451:5744
16Hoffenheim II381271965:7143
17TSV Havelse38982157:8935
18Aue387131851:7034
19Ulm38962349:7833
201. FC Schweinfurt38562738:8721