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Stadium Background

TSV Havelse vs Ingolstadt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena, Hannover
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Wriedt K.
12' Event
Ugondu O.
Assist: Kaygin D.
59'
Sub
Paldino L. In: Guiddir A.
Out: Paldino L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
TSV Havelse
35%
Draws
41%
Ingolstadt
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ingolstadt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Ingolstadt have won more games recently than TSV Havelse.
  • Win probability leans Ingolstadt's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ingolstadt have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
TSV Havelse Clean Sheet 10%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Havelse Ingolstadt
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.54 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 3. Liga
TSV Havelse vs Ingolstadt
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs TSV Havelse
3:2
Sep 17, 2025 3. Liga
TSV Havelse vs Ingolstadt
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSV Havelse Compare

Top Goalscorer Wriedt K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ingolstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Ugondu O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Havelse 18 / 100
Ingolstadt 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Havelse Ingolstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ingolstadt Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Havelse scored in 85% of their last 26 games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Ingolstadt let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

TSV Havelse has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

TSV Havelse VS Ingolstadt
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Havelse

(Home)
31 Oct
TSV Havelse
1 : 1
Ingolstadt
25 Oct
TSV Havelse
3 : 2
Saarbrucken
18 Oct
Meppen
1 : 1
TSV Havelse
13 Oct
TSV Havelse
2 : 2
Wurzburger Kickers
10 Oct
Regensburg
5 : 0
TSV Havelse
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Ingolstadt

(Away)
31 Oct
TSV Havelse
1 : 1
Ingolstadt
24 Oct
Ingolstadt
2 : 1
Duisburg
17 Oct
Ingolstadt
1 : 0
RW Essen
14 Oct
Mannheim
0 : 3
Ingolstadt
11 Oct
Ingolstadt
2 : 4
Wehen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Viktoria Koln 13 9 2 2 36:18 29
2 Duisburg 12 8 2 2 31:17 26
3 RW Essen 12 7 3 2 20:13 24
4 Saarbrucken 13 6 2 5 31:26 20
5 Alemannia Aachen 12 6 2 4 19:18 20
6 Wehen 12 5 3 4 23:17 18
7 Ingolstadt 12 5 3 4 16:17 18
8 Mannheim 12 5 1 6 21:19 16
9 Hoffenheim II 12 5 1 6 21:20 16
10 Dusseldorf 12 4 4 4 12:14 16
11 Hansa Rostock 12 4 4 4 19:22 16
12 Meppen 12 4 3 5 16:17 15
13 VfB Stuttgart II 12 4 3 5 21:23 15
14 Preussen Munster 12 4 3 5 20:23 15
15 Wurzburger Kickers 12 4 2 6 17:24 14
16 Regensburg 12 3 4 5 22:21 13
17 Verl 12 3 3 6 17:26 12
18 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 12 3 3 6 13:26 12
19 Fortuna Koln 12 2 4 6 9:14 10
20 TSV Havelse 12 2 4 6 17:26 10
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)