Sport Picks

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TSV Kornburg vs Munchberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Schelle M.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 game between TSV Kornburg and Munchberg finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSV Kornburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
TSV Kornburg
30%
Draws
31%
Munchberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TSV Kornburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • TSV Kornburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans TSV Kornburg's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
TSV Kornburg Clean Sheet 11%
Munchberg Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Kornburg Munchberg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.45 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.48 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
TSV Kornburg vs Munchberg
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Munchberg vs TSV Kornburg
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSV Kornburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Schelle M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.37
Avg xA / game 0.24

Munchberg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Kornburg 38 / 100
Munchberg 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Kornburg Munchberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Kornburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Munchberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

TSV Kornburg's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: TSV Kornburg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TSV Kornburg VS Munchberg
0.63 Goals Scored 0.67
3 Goals Conceded 0.33
63% Over 1.5 33%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Kornburg

(Home)
18 Sept
TSV Kornburg
1 : 2
Aschaffenburg
12 Sept
Regensburg II
3 : 0
TSV Kornburg
04 Sept
TSV Kornburg
1 : 1
Gebenbach
28 Aug
Stadeln
1 : 1
TSV Kornburg
21 Aug
TSV Kornburg
2 : 0
Fortuna Regensburg
Page 1 of 6

Munchberg

(Away)
27 Jun
Coburg
0 : 2
Munchberg
25 May
Stadeln
1 : 0
Munchberg
21 May
Munchberg
0 : 0
Stadeln
07 Feb
Neudrossenfeld
4 : 0
Munchberg
24 May
Munchberg
0 : 3
Stadeln
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vfb Eichstatt 34 23 5 6 74:33 74
2 Eltersdorf 34 21 10 3 56:24 73
3 Ingolstadt II 34 20 6 8 70:46 66
4 ATSV Erlangen 34 18 8 8 52:36 62
5 Cham 34 15 10 9 60:43 55
6 Fortuna Regensburg 34 15 8 11 84:58 53
7 Weiden 34 14 8 12 47:40 50
8 TSV Kornburg 34 13 8 13 58:53 47
9 Neudrossenfeld 34 12 10 12 49:57 46
10 Wurzburger FV 34 12 10 12 50:58 46
11 Bayern Hof 34 11 10 13 43:40 43
12 ASV Neumarkt 34 13 4 17 39:49 43
13 Regensburg II 34 10 11 13 48:51 41
14 Abtswind 34 10 10 14 46:51 40
15 DJK Ammerthal 34 9 8 17 43:51 35
16 Gebenbach 34 8 11 15 52:71 35
17 Munchberg 34 5 5 24 30:83 20
18 Karlburg 34 3 6 25 30:87 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 (Relegation)