Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026

Weiden

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

TSV Kornburg play Weiden in the Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, TSV Kornburg averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. Weiden averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, TSV Kornburg won 1, Weiden won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for TSV Kornburg and 1.63 for Weiden. This points to a Weiden double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

TSV Kornburg

35%

Draws

35%

Weiden

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Weiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

TSV Kornburg picked up more points recently compared to Weiden.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

TSV Kornburg Clean Sheet 14%

Weiden Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	TSV Kornburg	Weiden
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	8	12
Draws	10	10
Losses	10	8
Goals Scored	1.39	1.67
Goals Conceded	1.68	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord

TSV Kornburg vs Weiden

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Oct 17, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Weiden vs TSV Kornburg

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Mar 14, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Weiden vs TSV Kornburg

Possession: 46% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Aug 23, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord

TSV Kornburg vs Weiden

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Mar 4, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Weiden vs TSV Kornburg

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 0 - 4

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Kornburg 30 / 100

Weiden 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

TSV Kornburg Weiden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Weiden or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

TSV Kornburg attacking → ← attacking Weiden

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Kornburg scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Weiden let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

TSV Kornburg went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Weiden lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 46

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eltersdorf	32	21	2	9	55:30	65
2	Cham	32	17	8	7	58:35	59
3	ASV Neumarkt	32	18	5	9	68:50	59
4	Gebenbach	32	16	5	11	53:47	53
5	Bamberg	32	13	12	7	54:39	51
6	Weiden	32	13	11	8	57:39	50
7	Ingolstadt II	32	14	6	12	64:54	48
8	Fortuna Regensburg	32	12	9	11	66:58	45
9	Regensburg II	32	13	5	14	59:53	44
10	Bayern Hof	32	11	10	11	56:51	43
11	Neudrossenfeld	32	12	5	15	47:54	41
12	TSV Kornburg	32	9	13	10	48:50	40
13	Wurzburger FV	32	10	7	15	46:62	37
14	ATSV Erlangen	32	10	7	15	43:61	37
15	Stadeln	32	11	2	19	42:65	35
16	Coburg	32	9	3	20	44:81	30
17	Grossschwarzenlohe	32	4	8	20	35:66	20