Sport Picks

Germany

Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026

TSV Aubstadt

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

TSV Schwaben Augsburg play TSV Aubstadt in the Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, TSV Schwaben Augsburg averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. TSV Aubstadt averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, TSV Schwaben Augsburg won 2, TSV Aubstadt won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for TSV Schwaben Augsburg and 1.13 for TSV Aubstadt. This points to a TSV Schwaben Augsburg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

TSV Schwaben Augsburg

22%

Draws

35%

TSV Aubstadt

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: TSV Schwaben Augsburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

TSV Schwaben Augsburg picked up more points recently compared to TSV Aubstadt.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

TSV Schwaben Augsburg Clean Sheet 21%

TSV Aubstadt Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	TSV Schwaben Augsburg	TSV Aubstadt
Matches Played	29	26
Wins	13	9
Draws	4	8
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	1.45	1.46
Goals Conceded	1.48	1.35
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern

TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs TSV Aubstadt

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

3:1

Nov 1, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern

TSV Aubstadt vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Feb 23, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern

TSV Aubstadt vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg

Possession: 46% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

2:3

Aug 17, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern

TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs TSV Aubstadt

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 0 - 1

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSV Schwaben Augsburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Redier O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Keereerom A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

TSV Aubstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Grimm M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Schwaben Augsburg 43 / 100

TSV Aubstadt 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

TSV Schwaben Augsburg TSV Aubstadt

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: TSV Schwaben Augsburg or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

TSV Schwaben Augsburg attacking → ← attacking TSV Aubstadt

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Schwaben Augsburg scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

TSV Aubstadt let in goals in 85% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

TSV Schwaben Augsburg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

TSV Aubstadt lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 35

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nurnberg II	34	24	5	5	68:35	77
2	Wurzburger Kickers	34	22	9	3	74:25	75
3	Unterhaching	34	22	4	8	72:30	70
4	Illertissen	34	19	7	8	72:46	64
5	Vilzing	34	15	6	13	49:44	51
6	TSV Aubstadt	34	13	10	11	49:45	49
7	Vfb Eichstatt	34	12	12	10	48:37	48
8	Burghausen	34	13	8	13	46:50	47
9	Ansbach	34	13	7	14	54:65	46
10	Buchbach	34	13	7	14	54:69	46
11	Bayern II	34	14	6	14	61:52	45
12	Memmingen	34	10	12	12	43:47	42
13	Bayreuth	34	9	11	14	36:53	38
14	Augsburg II	34	9	7	18	37:48	34
15	TSV Schwaben Augsburg	34	9	7	18	39:60	34
16	Furth II	34	6	10	18	47:60	28
17	Aschaffenburg	34	6	8	20	31:71	26
18	Hankofen-Hailing	34	5	8	21	31:74	23