Sport Picks
TSV Schwabmunchen vs SV Erlbach - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Oberliga Bayern Süd 
AI Match Summary
SV Erlbach in this Oberliga Bayern Süd matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SV Erlbach.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SV Erlbach
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to SV Erlbach lately — more wins on the board than TSV Schwabmunchen.
- Model gives SV Erlbach a 44% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- TSV Schwabmunchen have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
TSV Schwabmunchen Clean Sheet 13%
SV Erlbach Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TSV Schwabmunchen | SV Erlbach |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.28 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 17, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
TSV Schwabmunchen vs SV Erlbach
2:3
Mar 6, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
TSV Schwabmunchen vs SV Erlbach
2:1
Aug 8, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs TSV Schwabmunchen
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TSV Schwabmunchen 27 / 100
SV Erlbach 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TSV Schwabmunchen SV Erlbach
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SV Erlbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
TSV Schwabmunchen found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: TSV Schwabmunchen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
SV Erlbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
TSV Schwabmunchen VS SV Erlbach
2 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
TSV Schwabmunchen
(Home) 24 Oct
Ismaning
1 : 2 TSV Schwabmunchen
17 Oct
TSV Schwabmunchen
2 : 3 SV Erlbach
10 Oct
Kirchanschoring
1 : 2 TSV Schwabmunchen
03 Oct
TSV Schwabmunchen
2 : 1 Gundelfingen
26 Sept
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
2 : 0 TSV Schwabmunchen
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
TSV Schwabmunchen
2 : 3 SV Erlbach
03 Oct
TSV Schwabmunchen
2 : 1 Gundelfingen
19 Sept
TSV Schwabmunchen
3 : 3 Deisenhofen
05 Sept
TSV Schwabmunchen
3 : 3 Hankofen-Hailing
22 Aug
TSV Schwabmunchen
8 : 1 Schalding
Page 1 of 3
SV Erlbach
(Away) 23 Oct
SV Erlbach
2 : 1 Schalding
17 Oct
TSV Schwabmunchen
2 : 3 SV Erlbach
09 Oct
SV Erlbach
3 : 1 Geretsried
03 Oct
Heimstetten
0 : 0 SV Erlbach
25 Sept
SV Erlbach
1 : 1 Pipinsried
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
TSV Schwabmunchen
2 : 3 SV Erlbach
03 Oct
Heimstetten
0 : 0 SV Erlbach
18 Sept
Munich 1860 II
0 : 1 SV Erlbach
04 Sept
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
1 : 0 SV Erlbach
23 Aug
FC Schwaig
0 : 0 SV Erlbach
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pipinsried | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 42:21 | 33 |
| 2 | SV Erlbach | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 23:10 | 32 |
| 3 | TSV 1880 Wasserburg | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 36:25 | 31 |
| 4 | Pfaffenhofen | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29:25 | 29 |
| 5 | Landshut | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 6 | Hankofen-Hailing | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27:19 | 28 |
| 7 | FC Schwaig | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 35:19 | 27 |
| 8 | Ismaning | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32:24 | 23 |
| 9 | Munich 1860 II | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 33:30 | 21 |
| 10 | TSV Schwabmunchen | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 31:32 | 19 |
| 11 | Heimstetten | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 27:29 | 19 |
| 12 | Kottern-St. Mang | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Gundelfingen | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22:25 | 17 |
| 14 | Deisenhofen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21:37 | 16 |
| 15 | TSV 1860 Rosenheim | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 20:29 | 15 |
| 16 | Kirchanschoring | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20:33 | 15 |
| 17 | Geretsried | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16:34 | 11 |
| 18 | Schalding | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19:46 | 10 |
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)
