Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tubarao vs Nacao

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event

AI Match Summary

Tubarao in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tubarao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Tubarao
17%
Draws
13%
Nacao
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tubarao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tubarao lately — more wins on the board than Nacao.
  • Win probability leans Tubarao's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Tubarao Clean Sheet 68%
Nacao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tubarao Nacao
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 12
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Catarinense 2
Tubarao vs Nacao
1:0
May 12, 2026 Catarinense 2
Nacao vs Tubarao
0:0
Jul 27, 2025 Catarinense 2
Nacao vs Tubarao
1:2
Jul 16, 2022 Catarinense 2
Tubarao vs Nacao
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tubarao 77 / 100
Nacao 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tubarao Nacao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tubarao's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Nacao conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Nacao lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tubarao VS Nacao
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tubarao

(Home)
25 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Guarani de Palhoca
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
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Nacao

(Away)
25 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Hercilio Luz
22 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Nacao
18 Jul
Nacao
2 : 2
Caravaggio
15 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 2
Nacao
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz18133235:1042
2CA Metropolitano18122436:1838
3Caravaggio18105347:2035
4Blumenau1894535:1531
5Tubarao1865723:2123
6Guarani de Palhoca1865724:2423
7Nacao1856719:2621
8Fluminense-SC1863916:2521
9Gremio Juventus18521117:2617
10Jaragua-SC1801176:731
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)