Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tubarao vs Almirante Barroso

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Santa Catarina 2018 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Tubarao
22%
Draws
18%
Almirante Barroso
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tubarao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Almirante Barroso haven't matched Tubarao's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Tubarao taking it.
  • Tubarao have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Tubarao Clean Sheet 20%
Almirante Barroso Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tubarao Almirante Barroso
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Tubarao vs Almirante Barroso
1:1
Sep 29, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Almirante Barroso vs Tubarao
0:2
Oct 24, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Almirante Barroso vs Tubarao
1:2
Sep 23, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Tubarao vs Almirante Barroso
0:0
Apr 23, 2017 Catarinense
Almirante Barroso vs Tubarao
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tubarao 58 / 100
Almirante Barroso 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tubarao Almirante Barroso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tubarao scored in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Almirante Barroso conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Almirante Barroso's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tubarao VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tubarao

(Home)
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
05 Jul
Tubarao
1 : 0
Nacao
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Almirante Barroso

(Away)
31 Oct
Avai B
1 : 1
Almirante Barroso
27 Oct
Figueirense B
2 : 2
Almirante Barroso
20 Oct
Almirante Barroso
0 : 1
Brusque
16 Oct
Fluminense-SC
6 : 0
Almirante Barroso
13 Oct
Almirante Barroso
0 : 1
Marcilio Dias
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz1090126:527
2Figueirense1062220:1220
3Joinville1044219:1516
4Fluminense-SC1023510:169
5CA Metropolitano1022611:168
6Blumenau100376:283
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brusque1081120:625
2Tubarao1055013:420
3Marcilio Dias1053219:618
4Almirante Barroso1042413:1114
5Inter de Lages1021712:137
6Operario Mafra1000104:410
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)