Sport Picks

Brazil

Catarinense 2

Tubarao

0 - 2

Hercilio Luz

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Tubarao and Hercilio Luz finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hercilio Luz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Tubarao

33%

Draws

40%

Hercilio Luz

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Hercilio Luz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Hercilio Luz carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Hercilio Luz a 40% chance of winning this.
Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

Tubarao Clean Sheet 12%

Hercilio Luz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tubarao	Hercilio Luz
Matches Played	31	27
Wins	10	12
Draws	9	6
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	1.63	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Catarinense 2

Tubarao vs Hercilio Luz

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

May 27, 2026 Catarinense 2

Hercilio Luz vs Tubarao

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Feb 24, 2019 Catarinense

Hercilio Luz vs Tubarao

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Jan 16, 2019 Catarinense

Tubarao vs Hercilio Luz

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 3 - 4

2:2

Nov 11, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina

Hercilio Luz vs Tubarao

Possession: 54% - 60% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tubarao 27 / 100

Hercilio Luz 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tubarao Hercilio Luz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tubarao scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Hercilio Luz has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Tubarao went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tubarao VS Hercilio Luz

1.63 Goals Scored 2.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	15	11	2	2	31:9	35
2	CA Metropolitano	16	10	2	4	31:18	32
3	Caravaggio	16	9	4	3	44:19	31
4	Blumenau	15	8	3	4	31:12	27
5	Tubarao	15	6	5	4	22:15	23
6	Fluminense-SC	15	5	3	7	14:18	18
7	Nacao	16	4	6	6	16:24	18
8	Guarani de Palhoca	15	4	4	7	14:23	16
9	Gremio Juventus	15	4	2	9	13:21	14
10	Jaragua-SC	16	0	1	15	6:63	1