Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tubarao vs Marcilio Dias

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marcilio Dias in this Copa Santa Catarina 2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marcilio Dias.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Tubarao
22%
Draws
18%
Marcilio Dias
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tubarao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marcilio Dias lately — more wins on the board than Tubarao.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Tubarao taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Tubarao Clean Sheet 20%
Marcilio Dias Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tubarao Marcilio Dias
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.63 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2021 Copa Santa Catarina
Tubarao vs Marcilio Dias
1:3
Oct 31, 2020 Serie D
Marcilio Dias vs Tubarao
3:0
Oct 11, 2020 Serie D
Tubarao vs Marcilio Dias
0:1
Mar 8, 2020 Catarinense
Marcilio Dias vs Tubarao
0:0
Oct 20, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Tubarao vs Marcilio Dias
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tubarao 58 / 100
Marcilio Dias 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tubarao Marcilio Dias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tubarao scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Marcilio Dias let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Tubarao remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tubarao VS Marcilio Dias
1.63 Goals Scored 0.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marcilio Dias541011:413
2Joinville530211:49
3Gremio Juventus52216:58
4Concordia52128:107
5NEC52038:126
6Tubarao50053:120