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Tubarao vs Marcilio Dias Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2020
Tubarao Logo

Tubarao

1 - 3
FT
Marcilio Dias Logo

Marcilio Dias

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marcilio Dias in this Copa Santa Catarina 2020 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tubarao
15%
Draws
85%
Marcilio Dias
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marcilio Dias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marcilio Dias lately — more wins on the board than Tubarao.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Marcilio Dias taking it.
  • Marcilio Dias arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marcilio Dias, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Tubarao Clean Sheet 13%
Marcilio Dias Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tubarao Marcilio Dias
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2021 Copa Santa Catarina
Tubarao vs Marcilio Dias
1:3
Oct 31, 2020 Serie D
Marcilio Dias vs Tubarao
3:0
Oct 11, 2020 Serie D
Tubarao vs Marcilio Dias
0:1
Mar 8, 2020 Catarinense
Marcilio Dias vs Tubarao
0:0
Oct 20, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Tubarao vs Marcilio Dias
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tubarao 10 / 100
Marcilio Dias 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tubarao Marcilio Dias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marcilio Dias Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tubarao's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Marcilio Dias let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Away concern: Marcilio Dias has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tubarao VS Marcilio Dias
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tubarao

(Home)
25 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Guarani de Palhoca
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
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Marcilio Dias

(Away)
26 Sept
Blumenau
1 : 1
Marcilio Dias
19 Sept
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Hercilio Luz
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1
Marcilio Dias
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5
Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Joinville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 5 4 1 0 11:4 13
2 Joinville 5 3 0 2 11:4 9
3 Gremio Juventus 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
4 Concordia 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
5 NEC 5 2 0 3 8:12 6
6 Tubarao 5 0 0 5 3:12 0
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2020 (Play Offs)