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Tuchlovice vs Velim

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Stredocesky KP
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tuchlovice host Velim in the Stredocesky KP. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Velim have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Tuchlovice have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Velim slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 2.00, favoring Velim. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tuchlovice
15%
Draws
42%
Velim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tuchlovice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Velim have won more games recently than Tuchlovice.
  • Win probability leans Tuchlovice's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tuchlovice Clean Sheet 10%
Velim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuchlovice Velim
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 20
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.21 2.62
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Stredocesky KP
Velim vs Tuchlovice
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Stredocesky KP
Tuchlovice vs Velim
4:1
May 3, 2025 Stredocesky KP
Velim vs Tuchlovice
2:4
Oct 5, 2024 Stredocesky KP
Tuchlovice vs Velim
0:1
Apr 13, 2024 Stredocesky KP
Velim vs Tuchlovice
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuchlovice 34 / 100
Velim 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuchlovice Velim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Velim conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Velim has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tuchlovice found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Tuchlovice VS Velim
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuchlovice

(Home)
12 Sept
Tuchlovice
4 : 2
SK Doksy
05 Sept
Povltavska FA B
1 : 0
Tuchlovice
29 Aug
Tuchlovice
4 : 1
Cesky Brod
22 Aug
Kralupy 1901
1 : 0
Tuchlovice
15 Aug
Tuchlovice
2 : 3
Vestec
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Velim

(Away)
12 Sept
Velim
0 : 2
Cesky Brod
04 Sept
Vestec
2 : 1
Velim
29 Aug
Velim
2 : 3
Nespeky
22 Aug
Dobrovice
2 : 5
Velim
15 Aug
Velim
4 : 0
Kutna Hora
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