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Tucson vs Kitsap Pumas

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2014
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AI Match Summary

Kitsap Pumas in this USL Premier Development League 2014 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tucson
15%
Draws
45%
Kitsap Pumas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kitsap Pumas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tucson lately — more wins on the board than Kitsap Pumas.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Tucson taking it.
  • Tucson have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kitsap Pumas, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tucson Clean Sheet 20%
Kitsap Pumas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tucson Kitsap Pumas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.71 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2015 USL League Two
Kitsap Pumas vs Tucson
1:4
Jul 27, 2014 USL League Two
Tucson vs Kitsap Pumas
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tucson 76 / 100
Kitsap Pumas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tucson Kitsap Pumas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tucson Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tucson scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Tucson went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kitsap Pumas has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tucson VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tucson

(Home)
18 Jul
San Francisco City
1 : 0
Tucson
11 Jul
Tucson
2 : 1
Capo
07 Jul
Stars FC
0 : 1
Tucson
04 Jul
Tucson
4 : 1
Stars FC
01 Jul
Ventura
2 : 1
Tucson
Page 1 of 7

Kitsap Pumas

(Away)
09 May
Portland (Capital) U23
5 : 0
Kitsap Pumas
17 Jul
Kitsap Pumas
3 : 1
Calgary-Foothills
10 Jul
Kitsap Pumas
2 : 1
Lane United FC
07 Jul
Kitsap Pumas
0 : 0
Portland Timbers 3
30 Jun
Kitsap Pumas
1 : 0
Sound FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Jersey Express -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Connecticut -
Seacoast United Phantoms -
TBD -
TBD -
West Virginia -
Menace -
TBD -
TBD -
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC -
Flint City -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Louis Lions -
Tucson 2
La Laguna 1
Victoria Highlanders FC 2
Vancouver Whitecaps U23 7
Kitsap Pumas -
TBD -
Ventura 1
BYU Cougars 0
Austin -
TBD -
TBD -
SW Florida Adrenaline -
Ocala Stampede -
TBD -
TBD -
Laredo Heat -
1/8-finals
Jersey Express 2
AC Connecticut 0
Seacoast United Phantoms 0
West Virginia 2
Menace 1
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC 0
Flint City 3
St. Louis Lions 1
Tucson 1
Vancouver Whitecaps U23 0
Kitsap Pumas 4
Ventura 3
Austin 3
SW Florida Adrenaline 1
Ocala Stampede 2
Laredo Heat 1
Quarter-finals
Jersey Express 3
West Virginia 1
Menace 0
Flint City 2
Tucson 0
Kitsap Pumas 3
Austin 0
Ocala Stampede 2
Semi-finals
Jersey Express 1
Flint City 2
Kitsap Pumas 2
Ocala Stampede 1
Final
Flint City 1
Kitsap Pumas 0