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Tucson vs Orange County SC II

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2016
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AI Match Summary

The USL Premier Development League 2016 game between Tucson and Orange County SC II finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tucson.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tucson
20%
Draws
38%
Orange County SC II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tucson

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Orange County SC II haven't matched Tucson's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tucson's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular USL Premier Development League 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tucson here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Tucson Clean Sheet 20%
Orange County SC II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tucson Orange County SC II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.67 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2016 USL League Two
Tucson vs Orange County SC II
3:0
May 31, 2016 USL League Two
Orange County SC II vs Tucson
1:3
Jul 13, 2015 USL League Two
Orange County SC II vs Tucson
1:4
Jun 29, 2014 USL League Two
Orange County SC II vs Tucson
2:3
May 18, 2014 USL League Two
Tucson vs Orange County SC II
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tucson 58 / 100
Orange County SC II 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tucson Orange County SC II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tucson Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tucson's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Orange County SC II conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tucson stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tucson VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tucson

(Home)
18 Jul
San Francisco City
1 : 0
Tucson
11 Jul
Tucson
2 : 1
Capo
07 Jul
Stars FC
0 : 1
Tucson
04 Jul
Tucson
4 : 1
Stars FC
01 Jul
Ventura
2 : 1
Tucson
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Orange County SC II

(Away)
14 Jul
San Francisco Glens SC
1 : 1
Orange County SC II
13 Jul
San Francisco City
1 : 3
Orange County SC II
07 Jul
Southern California Eagles
1 : 1
Orange County SC II
03 Jul
San Diego Zest
3 : 1
Orange County SC II
30 Jun
Orange County SC II
4 : 2
Santa Cruz Breakers FC
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