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Tudelano vs Alaves B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Morcillo D.
42' Event
Manas A.
47' Event
Alayeto I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Tudelano and Alaves B finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alaves B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Tudelano
15%
Draws
53%
Alaves B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alaves B come out ahead of Tudelano on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tudelano Clean Sheet 20%
Alaves B Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tudelano Alaves B
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.71 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Tudelano vs Alaves B
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Tudelano
3:1
Feb 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Tudelano vs Alaves B
1:2
Oct 6, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Tudelano
1:2
May 5, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Tudelano vs Alaves B
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tudelano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Alaves B Compare

Top Goalscorer Morcillo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tudelano 32 / 100
Alaves B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tudelano Alaves B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tudelano scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Alaves B has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Tudelano stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tudelano VS Alaves B
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tudelano

(Home)
07 Aug
Alfaro
0 : 4
Tudelano
16 May
Real Oviedo B
2 : 1
Tudelano
09 May
Tudelano
0 : 1
Real Oviedo B
03 May
SD Logrones
0 : 1
Tudelano
26 Apr
Tudelano
1 : 2
Alaves B
Page 1 of 7

Alaves B

(Away)
17 May
Alaves B
0 : 2
Jaen
10 May
Jaen
1 : 2
Alaves B
03 May
Gernika Club
0 : 0
Alaves B
26 Apr
Tudelano
1 : 2
Alaves B
18 Apr
Alaves B
3 : 0
SD Ejea
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)