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Tudelano vs Utebo FC

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Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tudelano play Utebo FC in the Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tudelano averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Utebo FC averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Tudelano won 0, Utebo FC won 1, and they drew 4. Their last match on Feb 21, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Tudelano and 1.19 for Utebo FC. This points to a Tudelano double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tudelano
35%
Draws
32%
Utebo FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tudelano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Tudelano picked up more points recently compared to Utebo FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Tudelano Clean Sheet 20%
Utebo FC Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tudelano Utebo FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Tudelano vs Utebo FC
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Utebo FC vs Tudelano
3:1
Apr 6, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Tudelano vs Utebo FC
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Utebo FC vs Tudelano
0:0
Feb 25, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Tudelano vs Utebo FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tudelano Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Utebo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrosa J. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tudelano 34 / 100
Utebo FC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tudelano Utebo FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tudelano or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tudelano attacking → ← attacking Utebo FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tudelano scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Utebo FC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Tudelano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Utebo FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 42
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025