Sport Picks
Tuggeranong United vs Queanbeyan City
Australia
NPL ACT Kambah Stadium, Canberra 
Match Events
63'
63'
Williams M.
83'
83'
Mccloskey W.
90'
90'
John M.
AI Match Summary
Tuggeranong United in this NPL ACT matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tuggeranong United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tuggeranong United have won more games recently than Queanbeyan City.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Tuggeranong United Clean Sheet 10%
Queanbeyan City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tuggeranong United | Queanbeyan City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Queanbeyan City
2:1
Jul 12, 2025 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Queanbeyan City
1:3
Jun 11, 2025 NPL ACT
Queanbeyan City vs Tuggeranong United
0:0
May 17, 2025 NPL ACT
Queanbeyan City vs Tuggeranong United
1:1
Sep 18, 2022 Capital Premier League
Tuggeranong United vs Queanbeyan City
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tuggeranong United Compare
Top Goalscorer Williams M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mccloskey W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Queanbeyan City Compare
Top Goalscorer John M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tuggeranong United 29 / 100
Queanbeyan City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tuggeranong United Queanbeyan City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TUG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tuggeranong United's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Queanbeyan City conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Tuggeranong United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tuggeranong United VS Queanbeyan City
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Tuggeranong United
(Home) 25 Jul
Tigers FC
4 : 1 Tuggeranong United
22 Jul
Tuggeranong United
2 : 1 Canberra White Eagles
11 Jul
Tuggeranong United
1 : 0 Belconnen United
28 Jun
Canberra Croatia
1 : 2 Tuggeranong United
13 Jun
O'Connor Knights
2 : 3 Tuggeranong United
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Tuggeranong United
2 : 1 Canberra White Eagles
11 Jul
Tuggeranong United
1 : 0 Belconnen United
10 Jun
Tuggeranong United
1 : 6 Monaro Panthers
16 May
Tuggeranong United
5 : 1 Brindabella Blues
13 May
Tuggeranong United
2 : 3 Canberra Croatia
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Queanbeyan City
(Away) 25 Jul
Canberra Olympic
2 : 2 Queanbeyan City
11 Jul
Tigers FC
2 : 2 Queanbeyan City
07 Jul
Monaro Panthers
2 : 1 Queanbeyan City
27 Jun
Queanbeyan City
2 : 1 Canberra White Eagles
20 Jun
Belconnen United
1 : 2 Queanbeyan City
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Canberra Olympic
2 : 2 Queanbeyan City
11 Jul
Tigers FC
2 : 2 Queanbeyan City
07 Jul
Monaro Panthers
2 : 1 Queanbeyan City
20 Jun
Belconnen United
1 : 2 Queanbeyan City
10 Jun
Canberra Croatia
4 : 2 Queanbeyan City
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canberra Croatia | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 48:18 | 40 |
| 2 | Monaro Panthers | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 56:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Tigers FC | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 47:21 | 35 |
| 4 | Tuggeranong United | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 37:34 | 33 |
| 5 | Canberra Juventus | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 34:29 | 30 |
| 6 | Queanbeyan City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 7 | Canberra Olympic | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 34:43 | 17 |
| 8 | O'Connor Knights | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 16:31 | 16 |
| 9 | Belconnen United | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24:35 | 9 |
| 10 | Canberra White Eagles | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14:48 | 7 |
| 11 | Brindabella Blues | 15 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 8:46 | 6 |
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capital Premier League 2027 (Main)