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Tuilla vs Luarca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Prieto I.
77' Event
Quintin N.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 game between Tuilla and Luarca finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Tuilla
20%
Draws
16%
Luarca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tuilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tuilla come out ahead of Luarca on wins alone.
  • Tuilla are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tuilla Clean Sheet 16%
Luarca Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuilla Luarca
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.97 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Luarca
1:1
Dec 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Tuilla
1:1
Mar 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Luarca
1:0
Nov 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Tuilla
3:1
Apr 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Luarca
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintin N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Luarca Compare

Top Goalscorer Prieto I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuilla 84 / 100
Luarca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuilla Luarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luarca has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Tuilla found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Luarca's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tuilla VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuilla

(Home)
10 May
Tuilla
1 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
03 May
Llanera
4 : 0
Tuilla
26 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Tuilla
19 Apr
Tuilla
4 : 0
Real Titanico
12 Apr
Navarro
1 : 1
Tuilla
Page 1 of 7

Luarca

(Away)
12 May
Lealtad
4 : 0
Luarca
05 May
Luarca
2 : 3
Gijon Industrial
01 May
Lenense
3 : 0
Luarca
27 Apr
Luarca
1 : 2
Basico Urraca
21 Apr
Tuilla
1 : 1
Luarca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 28 3 3 105:25 87
2 Gijon B 34 21 8 5 61:15 71
3 Lealtad 34 19 8 7 53:25 65
4 Union Club Ceares 34 19 8 7 52:30 65
5 L Entregu CF 34 18 9 7 51:32 63
6 Praviano 34 13 16 5 34:26 55
7 Tuilla 34 13 13 8 56:43 52
8 Basico Urraca 34 11 11 12 33:35 44
9 Caudal Deportivo 34 9 16 9 35:35 43
10 CD Colunga 34 11 8 15 38:44 41
11 Lenense 34 10 8 16 32:45 38
12 Aviles Stadium 34 8 12 14 30:43 36
13 Real Titanico 34 9 9 16 43:63 36
14 Condal 34 10 6 18 28:49 36
15 Llanes 34 9 8 17 36:54 35
16 Gijon Industrial 34 7 9 18 36:67 30
17 Luarca 34 6 7 21 38:75 25
18 Barcia 34 2 7 25 26:81 13
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 (Play Offs)