Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tukums 2000 2 vs Leevon PPK

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Calbergs D.
Own Goal
28' Event
Muiznieks R.
Assist: Saito S.
66' Event
Muiznieks R.
Assist: Kurtiss M.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Tukums 2000 2 and Leevon PPK finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leevon PPK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Tukums 2000 2
15%
Draws
69%
Leevon PPK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leevon PPK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leevon PPK come out ahead of Tukums 2000 2 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Leevon PPK a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Tukums 2000 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tukums 2000 2 Leevon PPK
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 19
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 2.97 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Leevon PPK
0:3
May 2, 2026 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs Tukums 2000 2
4:1
Aug 1, 2025 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs Tukums 2000 2
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Leevon PPK
2:1
Oct 28, 2024 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs Tukums 2000 2
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tukums 2000 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Leevon PPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Muiznieks R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tukums 2000 2 10 / 100
Leevon PPK 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tukums 2000 2 Leevon PPK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leevon PPK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Tukums 2000 2 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Leevon PPK let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Tukums 2000 2 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tukums 2000 2 VS Leevon PPK
0.88 Goals Scored 2
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tukums 2000 2

(Home)
19 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
3 : 1
Rezekne
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
30 Aug
Skanste
6 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
09 Aug
Riga Mariners
4 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
Page 1 of 6

Leevon PPK

(Away)
19 Sept
Leevon PPK
6 : 3
RFS 2
13 Sept
Riga FC 2
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 21 17 3 1 89:17 54
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 21 14 5 2 50:23 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 21 9 2 10 34:32 29
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
11 Tukums 2000 2 20 4 3 13 26:60 15
12 RFS 2 21 4 3 14 34:62 15
13 JFK Ventspils 20 3 6 11 21:40 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
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