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Stadium Background

Tukums 2000 2 vs Super Nova 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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1. Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Tukums 2000 2 and Super Nova 2 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Super Nova 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Tukums 2000 2
30%
Draws
16%
Super Nova 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tukums 2000 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tukums 2000 2 come out ahead of Super Nova 2 on wins alone.
  • Tukums 2000 2 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Tukums 2000 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Super Nova 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tukums 2000 2 Super Nova 2
Matches Played 29 23
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2026 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Super Nova 2
0:3
Jun 27, 2026 1. Liga
Super Nova 2 vs Tukums 2000 2
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tukums 2000 2 38 / 100
Super Nova 2 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tukums 2000 2 Super Nova 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tukums 2000 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tukums 2000 2's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Super Nova 2 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 23 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tukums 2000 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tukums 2000 2 VS Super Nova 2
1.13 Goals Scored 1
3.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tukums 2000 2

(Home)
18 Oct
Valmiera
2 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
11 Oct
FK Smiltene
3 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
26 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 0
JFK Ventspils
19 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
3 : 1
Rezekne
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
Page 1 of 6

Super Nova 2

(Away)
17 Oct
Super Nova 2
1 : 3
FK Metta
10 Oct
Valmiera
1 : 1
Super Nova 2
19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2
FK Smiltene
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 23 19 3 1 96:18 60
2 Valmiera 23 16 5 2 63:26 53
3 Leevon PPK 23 16 5 2 49:27 53
4 Riga Mariners 23 15 5 3 54:30 50
5 Alberts JDFS 23 12 5 6 46:33 41
6 Marupe 23 10 3 10 37:34 33
7 Riga FC 2 23 8 6 9 36:39 30
8 Skanste 23 8 2 13 46:48 26
9 Super Nova 2 23 6 8 9 30:36 26
10 FK Smiltene 23 5 5 13 34:61 20
11 Tukums 2000 2 23 5 4 14 31:65 19
12 RFS 2 23 5 3 15 37:65 18
13 JFK Ventspils 23 3 7 13 21:45 16
14 Rezekne 23 1 3 19 17:70 6
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