Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tukums 2000 2 vs Valmiera 2

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2024 Tukuma mākslīgā laukumā stadions, Tukums
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Match Events

10' Event
Lizunovs V.
18'
Cucurs D.
23' Event
Krancmanis A.
Assist: Cucurs D.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2024 game between Tukums 2000 2 and Valmiera 2 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tukums 2000 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tukums 2000 2
20%
Draws
50%
Valmiera 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valmiera 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valmiera 2 come out ahead of Tukums 2000 2 on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Valmiera 2 taking it.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Tukums 2000 2 Clean Sheet 13%
Valmiera 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tukums 2000 2 Valmiera 2
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2024 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Valmiera 2
4:1
Apr 13, 2024 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Tukums 2000 2
3:1
Aug 4, 2023 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Tukums 2000 2
1:0
Apr 7, 2023 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Valmiera 2
1:0
Oct 21, 2022 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Tukums 2000 2
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tukums 2000 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lizunovs V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Krancmanis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Valmiera 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pulis I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tukums 2000 2 10 / 100
Valmiera 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tukums 2000 2 Valmiera 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tukums 2000 2 found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Valmiera 2 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Tukums 2000 2 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tukums 2000 2 VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tukums 2000 2

(Home)
19 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
3 : 1
Rezekne
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
30 Aug
Skanste
6 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
09 Aug
Riga Mariners
4 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
Page 1 of 7

Valmiera 2

(Away)
10 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 0
Leevon PPK
02 Nov
Valmiera 2
2 : 0
Alberts JDFS
27 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 3
Skanste
18 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 2
Riga FC 2
05 Oct
Super Nova
4 : 1
Valmiera 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Super Nova 26 21 2 3 65:11 65
2 RFS 2 26 20 3 3 71:18 63
3 Alberts JDFS 26 19 1 6 53:21 58
4 Riga FC 2 26 13 9 4 59:26 48
5 Skanste 26 12 5 9 39:28 41
6 Valmiera 2 26 10 4 12 41:39 34
7 Marupe 26 9 6 11 25:44 33
8 Leevon PPK 26 9 4 13 36:38 31
9 AFA Olaine 26 8 6 12 45:50 30
10 JFK Ventspils 26 8 6 12 32:37 30
11 Ogre United 26 7 8 11 37:44 29
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 5 4 17 25:68 19
13 FK Smiltene 26 4 5 17 24:62 17
14 Rezekne 26 3 5 18 18:84 14
Promotion - Virsliga 2025 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2024 (Relegation)