Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup Tukuma pilsētas stadions

Super Nova

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tukums 2000 play Super Nova in the Latvian Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tukums 2000 averaged 1.68 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Super Nova averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Tukums 2000 won 1, Super Nova won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 1, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Tukums 2000 and 1.81 for Super Nova. This points to a Super Nova double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Tukums 2000

26%

Draws

41%

Super Nova

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Super Nova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Tukums 2000 picked up more points recently compared to Super Nova.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Tukums 2000 Clean Sheet 11%

Super Nova Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tukums 2000	Super Nova
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	6	9
Draws	12	5
Losses	13	15
Goals Scored	1.68	1.21
Goals Conceded	1.9	1.66
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.63	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Virsliga

Tukums 2000 vs Super Nova

Possession: 60% - 58% Cards: 1 - 0

1:2

May 11, 2026 Virsliga

Super Nova vs Tukums 2000

Possession: 55% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Mar 22, 2026 Virsliga

Tukums 2000 vs Super Nova

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Sep 28, 2025 Virsliga

Tukums 2000 vs Super Nova

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Jul 6, 2025 Virsliga

Super Nova vs Tukums 2000

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tukums 2000 32 / 100

Super Nova 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tukums 2000 Super Nova

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Super Nova or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tukums 2000 attacking → ← attacking Super Nova

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tukums 2000 scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Super Nova let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Tukums 2000 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Super Nova lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 32

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88