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Tulevik vs Johvi Phoenix

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Topa M.
48' Event
Ott I.
50' Event
Saag K.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Tulevik and Johvi Phoenix finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tulevik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tulevik
35%
Draws
37%
Johvi Phoenix
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Johvi Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Johvi Phoenix carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tulevik are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Tulevik Clean Sheet 10%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tulevik Johvi Phoenix
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 2.45 2.45
Goals Conceded 2.52 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Johvi Phoenix
0:0
Jun 6, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Johvi Phoenix
4:2
Apr 11, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tulevik
5:4
Oct 27, 2024 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tulevik
2:1
Jul 26, 2024 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Johvi Phoenix
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tulevik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ott I.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Saag K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Johvi Phoenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Topa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stoyanov B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tulevik 38 / 100
Johvi Phoenix 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tulevik Johvi Phoenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tulevik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tulevik scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Johvi Phoenix has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tulevik stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tulevik VS Johvi Phoenix
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tulevik

(Home)
23 Aug
Tulevik
3 : 3
Narva U21
20 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 2
Tulevik
16 Aug
Tulevik
1 : 4
Levadia U19
08 Aug
Tartu Kalev
4 : 2
Tulevik
01 Aug
Tulevik
0 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
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Johvi Phoenix

(Away)
23 Aug
Tammeka Tartu U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
20 Aug
Tabasalu
2 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
15 Aug
Narva U21
1 : 0
Johvi Phoenix
12 Aug
Johvi Phoenix
0 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus
09 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
3 : 1
Johvi Phoenix
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 24 14 3 7 60:34 45
2 Levadia U19 24 14 2 8 59:42 44
3 Tammeka Tartu U21 24 13 4 7 64:48 43
4 Johvi Phoenix 25 13 3 9 56:55 42
5 Tartu Kalev 24 13 1 10 64:46 40
6 Tulevik 25 11 5 9 63:52 38
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 24 10 4 10 63:54 34
8 Tabasalu 24 9 2 13 37:61 29
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 24 5 4 15 49:61 19
10 Legion 22 3 2 17 22:84 11
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)