Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tullycarnet vs Abbey Villa Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Abbey Villa in this Irish Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Tullycarnet
15%
Draws
37%
Abbey Villa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tullycarnet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Tullycarnet haven't matched Abbey Villa's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Abbey Villa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Abbey Villa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Tullycarnet Clean Sheet 10%
Abbey Villa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tullycarnet Abbey Villa
Matches Played 7 21
Wins 5 10
Draws 0 1
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 2.43 2.05
Goals Conceded 2.57 2.05
Expected Goals (xG) 2.09 2.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2018 Irish Cup
Tullycarnet vs Abbey Villa
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tullycarnet 29 / 100
Abbey Villa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tullycarnet Abbey Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tullycarnet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tullycarnet scored in 86% of their last 7 games.

Defensive concern: Abbey Villa conceded in 90% of 21 recent games.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Tullycarnet went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tullycarnet VS Abbey Villa
2.43 Goals Scored 2.5
2.57 Goals Conceded 1.75
86% Over 1.5 100%
86% Over 2.5 100%
71% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tullycarnet

(Home)
30 Nov
Dollingstown
6 : 0
Tullycarnet
02 Nov
Tullycarnet
4 : 3
Armagh
28 Sept
Maiden City
1 : 3
Tullycarnet
01 Dec
Tullycarnet
3 : 4
Abbey Villa
03 Nov
Fivemiletown
1 : 2
Tullycarnet
Page 1 of 2

Abbey Villa

(Away)
23 Jul
Abbey Villa
2 : 2
Ards
17 Aug
St. James' Swifts
4 : 1
Abbey Villa
05 Jan
Portadown
5 : 1
Abbey Villa
01 Dec
Tullycarnet
3 : 4
Abbey Villa
03 Nov
Shorts
1 : 3
Abbey Villa
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Ballinamallard -
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Ards -
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Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
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Islandmagee 6
Cookstown Youth 1
Aquinas 3
Foundry 4
Moneyslane FC -
TBD -
Bangor Swifts 1
Crumlin United 2
Newtowne FC 6
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3
Broomhedge 1
Ballynahinch Olympic 12
Annagh -
TBD -
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Rosemount Rec -
Cliftonville -
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Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
St Luke's 0
TBD -
Dundonald -
Dunmurry Rec 4
Mossley FC 3
Iveagh Utd 2
Dungiven 5
Lurgan Town Boys -
TBD -
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Desertmartin 3
Armagh -
TBD -
Hanover 0
Dunloy 2
TBD -
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Limavady -
Knockbreda -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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St. James' Swifts 2
Sofia Farmer 1
Seapatrick 1
Coagh Utd 6
Ards Rangers -
TBD -
Holywood 1
Newbuildings 2
Banbridge -
TBD -
Dunmurry Y.M. 4
Rathfriland Rangers 5
Ballymoney 2
Rosario Youth 1
Derriaghy 1
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Ardstraw 7
Dromore Amateurs 0
TBD -
Tobermore -
Brantwood 4
Orangefield Old Boys' 2
Saintfield 1
Laurelvale 3
Valley Rangers 3
Tandragee 2
TBD -
Newington FC -
Comber Rec 1
Immaculata 0
Dromara 1
Lisburn Rangers 2
Downshire Y.M. -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness -
Shankill -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor Old Boys -
Wellington Rec -
TBD -
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Lisburn Distillery -
Institute -
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Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
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Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 9
Malachians 2
Lower Maze 2
Trojans 3
Ballynahinch United 3
Groomsport 2
TBD -
Seagoe -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
Woodvale 2
St. Patricks Young 3
Oxford Sunnyside 6
Bryansburn 3
TBD -
Portstewart -
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Dergview -
Crumlin Star -
TBD -
Markethill 3
Killyleagh Youth 5
Banbridge Rangers 2
Sirocco 0
Glebe 1
Bangor FC 2
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
Ballymacash 1
Kilmore Rec 3
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Crewe -
TBD -
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Loughgall -
Newry City -
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Larne -
Ballymena -
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Dundela -
Abbey Villa -
TBD -
Chimney 2
Grove 5
Colin Valley 2
Suffolk 1
Silverwood 1
Shorts 8
Fivemiletown 7
Bloomfield 0
Oxford Stars 0
Wakehurst 1
Bangor Amateurs FC 3
Newcastle 2
Tullyvallen Rangers 3
Tullycarnet 4
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Portadown -
Linfield -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Crusaders -
1/128-finals
Ballinamallard -
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PSNI -
Ards -
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Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
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Islandmagee 2
Foundry 1
Moneyslane FC 1
Crumlin United 5
Newtowne FC 1
Ballynahinch Olympic 0
Annagh 1
Rosemount Rec 2
Cliftonville -
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Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Dundonald 0
Dunmurry Rec 1
Dungiven 4
Lurgan Town Boys 4
Desertmartin 1
Armagh 0
Dunloy 2
TBD -
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Limavady -
Knockbreda -
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St. James' Swifts 4
Coagh Utd 2
Ards Rangers 0
Newbuildings 2
Banbridge 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Ballymoney 1
Strabane Athletic 5
Queens University 4
Dollingstown 3
Ardstraw 3
Tobermore 5
Brantwood 2
Laurelvale 1
Valley Rangers 1
Newington FC 3
Comber Rec 4
Lisburn Rangers 1
Downshire Y.M. 0
Drumaness 4
Shankill 2
Bangor Old Boys 1
Wellington Rec 0
Lisburn Distillery 2
Institute -
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Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
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Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 3
Trojans 1
Ballynahinch United 3
Seagoe 4
Lurgan Celtic -
St. Patricks Young -
Oxford Sunnyside -
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Crumlin Star 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Banbridge Rangers 0
Bangor FC 2
Sport & Leisure 2
Kilmore Rec 1
Moyola 1
Crewe 2
TBD -
TBD -
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Loughgall -
Newry City -
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Larne -
Ballymena -
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Dundela -
Abbey Villa 4
Grove 3
Colin Valley 3
Shorts 4
Fivemiletown 3
Wakehurst 2
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
Tullycarnet 1
TBD -
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Portadown -
Linfield -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Crusaders -
1/64-finals
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Islandmagee 3
Crumlin United 1
Newtowne FC 1
Rosemount Rec 2
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Dungiven 1
Lurgan Town Boys 1
Dunloy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. James' Swifts 2
Newbuildings 0
Banbridge 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 6
Tobermore 3
Brantwood 2
Newington FC 3
Comber Rec 2
Drumaness 1
Shankill 2
Lisburn Distillery 4
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 4
Seagoe 1
Lurgan Celtic 2
Portstewart 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Crumlin Star 5
Bangor FC 3
Sport & Leisure 0
Crewe 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Abbey Villa 3
Shorts 1
Fivemiletown 1
Tullycarnet 2
TBD -
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TBD -
Portadown -
Linfield -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
TBD -
Islandmagee 1
Rosemount Rec 3
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Dunloy 0
TBD -
Limavady -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
St. James' Swifts 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 4
Newington FC 1
Comber Rec 3
Lisburn Distillery 4
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 1
Portstewart 0
TBD -
Dergview -
Crumlin Star 2
Crewe 1
TBD -
Loughgall -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Abbey Villa 4
Tullycarnet 3
TBD -
Portadown -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Ballinamallard 5
PSNI 1
Ards 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Glenavon 5
Rosemount Rec 0
Cliftonville 0
Dungannon 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Limavady 0
Knockbreda 1
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 6
Lisburn Distillery 0
Institute 0
Warrenpoint 2
Coleraine 2
Harland & Wolff 0
Maiden City 2
Dergview 3
Crumlin Star 4
Loughgall 1
Newry City 1
Larne 2
Ballymena 3
Dundela 1
Abbey Villa 1
Portadown 5
Linfield 1
Ballyclare 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 4
1/8-finals
Ballinamallard 1
Carrick Rangers 0
Glenavon 0
Dungannon 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Strabane Athletic 1
Queens University 0
Warrenpoint 2
Coleraine 3
Dergview 0
Crumlin Star 1
Larne 3
Ballymena 4
Portadown 1
Linfield 1
Crusaders 2
Quarter-finals
Ballinamallard 3
Dungannon 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Warrenpoint 3
Coleraine 5
Larne 3
Ballymena 0
Crusaders 3
Semi-finals
Ballinamallard 1
Warrenpoint 0
Coleraine 0
Crusaders 2
Final
Ballinamallard 0
Crusaders 3