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Tuloy vs Davao Aguilas

Philippines Philippines

PFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Diallo I.
6' Event
Diallo I.
34' Event
Tetteh R.

AI Match Summary

The PFL 2025/2026 game between Tuloy and Davao Aguilas finished 2-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Davao Aguilas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tuloy
30%
Draws
37%
Davao Aguilas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Davao Aguilas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Tuloy haven't matched Davao Aguilas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Davao Aguilas a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular PFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Davao Aguilas here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Tuloy Clean Sheet 10%
Davao Aguilas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuloy Davao Aguilas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 1.8 1.97
Goals Conceded 4.93 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 PFL
Tuloy vs Davao Aguilas
2:7
Oct 19, 2025 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Tuloy
5:2
Jun 23, 2024 PFL
Tuloy vs Davao Aguilas
1:3
Jul 23, 2023 Copa Paulino Alcantara
Tuloy vs Davao Aguilas
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuloy Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saut C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Davao Aguilas Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo I.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Tetteh R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuloy 18 / 100
Davao Aguilas 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuloy Davao Aguilas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Davao Aguilas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.25 goals when they meet.

Tuloy found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Davao Aguilas let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Tuloy went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tuloy VS Davao Aguilas
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuloy

(Home)
20 Sept
Philippine Army
3 : 4
Tuloy
12 Sept
Tuloy
0 : 3
Kaya FC
06 Sept
Maharlika Manila
4 : 2
Tuloy
24 May
Mendiola FC 1991
1 : 4
Tuloy
20 May
Tuloy
1 : 1
Maharlika Manila
Page 1 of 6

Davao Aguilas

(Away)
06 Sept
Mendiola FC 1991
0 : 4
Davao Aguilas
30 May
Stallion
2 : 2
Davao Aguilas
27 May
Davao Aguilas
1 : 1
Taguig
23 May
Cebu FC
0 : 1
Davao Aguilas
16 May
Kaya FC
3 : 1
Davao Aguilas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manila Digger 20 17 3 0 103:13 54
2 Taguig 20 17 1 2 84:9 52
3 Cebu FC 20 13 3 4 70:21 42
4 Kaya FC 20 13 2 5 68:13 41
5 Stallion 20 9 6 5 58:22 33
6 Davao Aguilas 20 10 2 8 45:28 32
7 Maharlika Manila 20 9 2 9 43:35 29
8 Don Bosco Garelli 20 5 0 15 32:74 15
9 Tuloy 20 3 2 15 27:119 11
10 Mendiola FC 1991 20 2 1 17 13:99 7
11 Philippine Army 20 0 2 18 14:124 2
Promotion - PFL 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL 2025/2026 (Placement Group)