Sport Picks

Brazil

Paraense U20

Sport Belem U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tuna Luso U20 play Sport Belem U20 in the Paraense U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tuna Luso U20 averaged 2.77 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Sport Belem U20 averaged 2.29 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Tuna Luso U20 won 1, Sport Belem U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 16, 2025 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.46 for Tuna Luso U20 and 1.80 for Sport Belem U20. This points to a Tuna Luso U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Tuna Luso U20

15%

Draws

39%

Sport Belem U20

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tuna Luso U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Tuna Luso U20 picked up more points recently compared to Sport Belem U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.46 vs 1.80 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

Tuna Luso U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Sport Belem U20 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tuna Luso U20	Sport Belem U20
Matches Played	31	14
Wins	19	9
Draws	4	2
Losses	8	3
Goals Scored	2.77	2.29
Goals Conceded	0.94	0.93
Expected Goals (xG)	3.63	2.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 Paraense U20

Tuna Luso U20 vs Sport Belem U20

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuna Luso U20 44 / 100

Sport Belem U20 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tuna Luso U20 Sport Belem U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tuna Luso U20 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tuna Luso U20 attacking → ← attacking Sport Belem U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuna Luso U20 scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Sport Belem U20 let in goals in 43% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Tuna Luso U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sport Belem U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 29

3.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.86

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.29