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Tuna Luso W vs Atletico-PI W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A3 Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tuna Luso W play Atletico-PI W in the Brasileiro A3 Women 2025. Atletico-PI W are favorites here. Recently, Tuna Luso W averaged 3.76 goals scored and 1 conceded. Atletico-PI W averaged 3.16 goals scored and 0.66 conceded. In past meetings, Tuna Luso W won 0, Atletico-PI W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 25, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Tuna Luso W and 1.00 for Atletico-PI W. This points to a Atletico-PI W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Tuna Luso W
25%
Draws
60%
Atletico-PI W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Atletico-PI W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Tuna Luso W picked up more points recently compared to Atletico-PI W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Tuna Luso W Clean Sheet 23%
Atletico-PI W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuna Luso W Atletico-PI W
Matches Played 21 32
Wins 13 25
Draws 2 1
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 3.76 3.16
Goals Conceded 1 0.66

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Atletico-PI W vs Tuna Luso W
3:2
May 17, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Tuna Luso W vs Atletico-PI W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuna Luso W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Atletico-PI W Compare

Top Goalscorer Coutinho Ferreira M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rocha G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.86
Avg xA / game 2.36

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuna Luso W 18 / 100
Atletico-PI W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuna Luso W Atletico-PI W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-PI W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Atletico-PI W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tuna Luso W attacking → ← attacking Atletico-PI W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuna Luso W scored in 81% of their last 21 games.

Atletico-PI W let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Tuna Luso W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Atletico-PI W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 76
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 4.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50