Sport Picks

Brazil

Paraense Women 2024

Tuna Luso W

2 - 1

Castelo dos Sonhos W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tuna Luso W in this Paraense Women 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tuna Luso W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Tuna Luso W

28%

Draws

50%

Castelo dos Sonhos W

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Castelo dos Sonhos W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Tuna Luso W lately — more wins on the board than Castelo dos Sonhos W.
Win probability leans Castelo dos Sonhos W's way, sitting at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

Tuna Luso W Clean Sheet 12%

Castelo dos Sonhos W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tuna Luso W	Castelo dos Sonhos W
Matches Played	21	8
Wins	13	4
Draws	2	0
Losses	6	4
Goals Scored	2.38	2.75
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2024 Paraense Women

Castelo dos Sonhos W vs Tuna Luso W

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

0:4

Nov 8, 2024 Paraense Women

Tuna Luso W vs Castelo dos Sonhos W

Possession: 60% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuna Luso W 22 / 100

Castelo dos Sonhos W 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tuna Luso W Castelo dos Sonhos W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuna Luso W scored in 81% of their last 21 games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Castelo dos Sonhos W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Castelo dos Sonhos W let in goals in 50% of their last 8 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tuna Luso W VS Castelo dos Sonhos W

2.38 Goals Scored 2.75

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 100%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tuna Luso W	8	7	1	0	65:3	22
2	Remo W	8	6	1	1	31:3	19
3	Castelo dos Sonhos W	8	4	0	4	31:11	12
4	Cruzeirao W	8	2	0	6	13:47	6
5	Atletico JM9 W	8	0	0	8	1:77	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tiradentes PA W	8	7	1	0	41:4	22
2	Paysandu PA W	8	6	1	1	41:2	19
3	Cabanos W	8	4	0	4	19:19	12
4	Atletico Boca Junior W	8	2	0	6	9:53	6
5	Ponte Nova PA W	8	0	0	8	4:36	0